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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Derby
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Reading
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jun -20 Derby – Reading 2–1 21. Dec -19 Reading – Derby 3–0 19. Jan -19 Derby – Reading 2–1 3. Aug -18 Reading – Derby 1–2 24. Feb -18 Reading – Derby 3–3

Match report

Derby Reading
Graeme Shinnie 🟨
37′
40′
⚽ Lucas João 0–1
M. Olise
Louie Sibley 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
46′
⚽ O. Ejaria 0–2
Lucas João
N. Byrne 🔁
↦ A. Wisdom
46′
Nathan Byrne 🟨
47′
W. Rooney 🔁
↦ G. Shinnie
63′
66′
🟨 Michael Olise
68′
🔁 S. Aluko
↦ O. Ejaria
78′
🔁 S. Baldock
↦ J. Swift
88′
🔁 T. Holmes
↦ M. Olise
90′
🟨 Omar Richards
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Derby

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
3 C. Forsyth D
4 G. Shinnie M
6 M. te Wierik D
2 A. Wisdom D
16 M. Clarke D
8 M. Bird M
17 L. Sibley M
38 J. Knight M
14 J. Marriott F
18 M. Whittaker M
Bench (7)
12 N. Byrne
32 W. Rooney
46 J. Brown
33 C. Davies
22 G. Evans
21 K. Roos
26 L. Buchanan

Coach: P. Cocu

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
3 O. Richards D
17 A. Yiadom D
10 J. Swift M
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
24 S. Aluko
9 S. Baldock
29 T. Holmes
20 Felipe Araruna
47 G. Puşcaş
38 E. Briston
22 L. Southwood

Coach: V. Paunovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
🔒
U
3,44
🔒
B ✓
3,62
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,94
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,87
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.