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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
Watford
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
QPR
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 37%
50%
24%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
23%
28%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
48%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 2. · QPR 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 26 16 6 4 +14 54
2 Watford 26 13 8 5 +12 47
3 Reading 26 14 5 7 +11 47
4 Brentford 23 12 8 3 +20 44
5 Swansea 23 12 7 4 +14 43
6 Bournemouth 25 11 9 5 +16 42
7 Middlesbrough 27 11 7 9 +6 40
8 Blackburn 26 11 6 9 +13 39
9 Bristol City 26 12 3 11 -1 39
10 Stoke 27 9 11 7 +3 38
11 Barnsley 25 10 6 9 -1 36
12 Preston 27 11 3 13 -3 36
13 Luton 26 9 6 11 -7 33
14 Huddersfield 27 9 5 13 -8 32
15 Cardiff 26 8 7 11 +2 31
16 Millwall 26 6 13 7 -3 31
17 Coventry 26 7 9 10 -10 30
18 Derby 26 7 7 12 -8 28
19 Sheffield Weds 25 7 7 11 -9 28
20 QPR 25 6 9 10 -8 27
21 Birmingham 26 6 9 11 -12 27
22 Nott'm Forest 26 6 8 12 -9 26
23 Rotherham 24 6 5 13 -8 23
24 Wycombe 24 3 6 15 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Nov -20 QPR – Watford 1–1

Match report

Watford QPR
33′
🟨 Lee Wallace
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Deeney
52′
Francisco Sierralta 🟨
54′
K. Sema 🔁
↦ W. Hughes
67′
A. Gray 🔁
↦ João Pedro
67′
67′
🔁 C. Willock
↦ S. Johansen
73′
C. Austin 1–1
C. Willock
82′
🔁 A. Adomah
↦ I. Chair
82′
🔁 C. Kelman
↦ C. Austin
B. Wilmot 🔁
↦ J. Ngakia
83′
P. Zinckernagel 🔁
↦ N. Chalobah
83′
89′
🔁 G. Thomas
↦ M. Bonne
Marc Navarro 🟨
90′
90′
A. Adomah 1–2
T. Kane
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Watford

4-4-2
26 D. Bachmann G
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
32 Marc Navarro D
31 F. Sierralta D
8 T. Cleverley M
14 N. Chalobah M
19 W. Hughes M
9 T. Deeney F
23 I. Sarr M
3 J. Ngakia D
10 João Pedro F
Bench (9)
12 K. Sema
18 A. Gray
6 B. Wilmot
7 P. Zinckernagel
44 J. Hungbo
15 C. Cathcart
33 R. Elliot
41 M. Barrett
40 S. Dalby

Coach: Xisco Muñoz

QPR

3-4-1-2
13 T. Dieng G
3 L. Wallace M
20 G. Cameron D
12 D. Ball M
6 Y. Barbet D
2 T. Kane M
4 R. Dickie D
14 S. Johansen M
10 I. Chair F
45 C. Austin F
7 M. Bonne F
Bench (8)
21 C. Willock
37 A. Adomah
29 C. Kelman
19 G. Thomas
26 F. Bettache
25 N. Hamalainen
1 J. Lumley
24 O. Kakay

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U
3,59
B ✓
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.