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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Luton
S T T U S
0–2
Full-time
Cardiff
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Championship · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 37%
36%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
25%
45%
Both score Ø 42%
32%
52%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luton 15. · Cardiff 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 29 17 7 5 +15 58
2 Watford 30 15 9 6 +18 54
3 Brentford 27 15 8 4 +24 53
4 Reading 30 15 6 9 +10 51
5 Bournemouth 28 12 10 6 +16 46
6 Swansea 24 13 7 4 +16 46
7 Middlesbrough 30 12 7 11 +3 43
8 Stoke 30 10 12 8 +1 42
9 Cardiff 29 11 7 11 +7 40
10 Blackburn 28 11 6 11 +11 39
11 Barnsley 26 11 6 9 +1 39
12 Preston 30 12 3 15 -4 39
13 Bristol City 30 12 3 15 -12 39
14 Millwall 29 8 14 7 +1 38
15 Luton 28 10 7 11 -6 37
16 Derby 29 9 7 13 -9 34
17 Sheffield Weds 29 9 7 13 -10 34
18 Nott'm Forest 29 8 9 12 -5 33
19 QPR 27 8 9 10 -6 33
20 Huddersfield 30 9 6 15 -10 33
21 Coventry 29 7 10 12 -13 31
22 Rotherham 27 8 5 14 -5 29
23 Birmingham 29 6 10 13 -14 28
24 Wycombe 29 4 7 18 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luton Cardiff
M. Cranie 🔁
↦ T. Lockyer
30′
Half-time 0–0
L. Berry 🔁
↦ M. Pearson
46′
53′
H. Wilson 0–1
A. Flint
57′
W. Vaulks 0–2
T. Ince 🔁
↦ D. Hylton
64′
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ K. Naismith
64′
65′
🟨 Will Vaulks
E. Adebayo 🔁
↦ J. Collins
73′
74′
🔁 M. Watters
↦ K. Moore
76′
🔁 L. Bacuna
↦ H. Wilson
76′
🔁 J. Bagan
↦ J. Murphy
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Luton

4-1-4-1
12 S. Sluga G
5 S. Bradley D
3 D. Potts D
15 T. Lockyer D
6 M. Pearson D
16 G. Rea M
24 K. Naismith M
17 P. Ruddock M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
9 D. Hylton M
19 J. Collins F
Bench (9)
2 M. Cranie
8 L. Berry
39 T. Ince
7 H. Cornick
29 E. Adebayo
1 J. Shea
4 R. Tunnicliffe
18 J. Clark
27 S. Nombe

Coach: N. Jones

Cardiff

3-4-1-2
1 D. Phillips G
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett M
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
38 P. Ng M
21 M. Pack M
6 W. Vaulks M
11 J. Murphy F
23 H. Wilson F
10 K. Moore F
Bench (9)
19 M. Watters
7 L. Bacuna
32 J. Bagan
12 A. Smithies
28 T. Sang
40 R. Colwill
39 I. Davies
29 M. Harris
30 C. Brown

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U
3,13
B ✓
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.