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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Nott'm Forest
T U T U S
3–1
Full-time
QPR
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Championship · 39/38 matches
Win Ø 33%
28%
37%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
21%
37%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
20 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 16. · QPR 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 39 25 9 5 +29 84
2 Watford 40 23 10 7 +30 79
3 Brentford 36 18 11 7 +25 65
4 Barnsley 37 19 8 10 +11 65
5 Reading 39 18 9 12 +11 63
6 Bournemouth 37 17 11 9 +21 62
7 Swansea 35 18 8 9 +11 62
8 Cardiff 39 16 10 13 +17 58
9 Middlesbrough 40 16 9 15 +5 57
10 Millwall 39 13 16 10 +3 55
11 Stoke 39 14 13 12 +2 55
12 QPR 38 14 11 13 -1 53
13 Luton 38 14 8 16 -12 50
14 Bristol City 39 15 4 20 -13 49
15 Blackburn 39 12 10 17 +7 46
16 Nott'm Forest 39 11 12 16 -7 45
17 Preston 39 13 6 20 -10 45
18 Huddersfield 38 11 10 17 -11 43
19 Derby 39 11 10 18 -13 43
20 Birmingham 39 10 11 18 -21 41
21 Coventry 38 9 12 17 -19 39
22 Sheffield Weds 38 10 8 20 -20 38
23 Rotherham 35 10 5 20 -10 35
24 Wycombe 39 7 9 23 -35 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest QPR
Ryan Yates 🟨
32′
1–0 A. Mighten
S. Ameobi
44′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 L. Dykes
↦ D. Ball
2–0 L. Grabban
F. Krovinović
63′
Filip Krovinović 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 A. Adomah
↦ C. Willock
3–0 J. Garner
69′
73′
🟨 Stefan Johansen
L. Freeman 🔁
↦ S. Ameobi
78′
G. Murray 🔁
↦ L. Grabban
78′
80′
🔁 C. Kelman
↦ C. Austin
80′
🔁 F. Bettache
↦ S. Field
J. Colback 🔁
↦ R. Yates
81′
Cyrus Christie 🟨
89′
93′
L. Dykes 3–1
A. Adomah
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
30 B. Samba G
2 C. Christie D
26 S. McKenna D
24 T. Blackett D
4 J. Worrall D
11 S. Ameobi M
27 F. Krovinović M
22 R. Yates M
37 J. Garner M
7 L. Grabban F
17 A. Mighten M
Bench (9)
15 L. Freeman
25 G. Murray
8 J. Colback
5 Yuri Ribeiro
28 A. Knockaert
33 L. Taylor
18 Cafú
6 L. Mbe Soh
12 J. Smith

Coach: C. Hughton

QPR

3-4-2-1
13 T. Dieng G
3 L. Wallace M
12 D. Ball M
6 Y. Barbet D
4 R. Dickie D
24 O. Kakay M
14 S. Johansen M
10 I. Chair F
15 S. Field D
45 C. Austin F
21 C. Willock F
Bench (8)
9 L. Dykes
37 A. Adomah
29 C. Kelman
26 F. Bettache
1 J. Lumley
19 G. Thomas
7 M. Bonne
25 N. Hamalainen

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,54
U
3,22
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.