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LaLiga2

Cartagena

T U T U U

2–1

Full-time

Alcorcon

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 24%

22%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

47%

25%

Both score Ø 41%

56%

25%

Average goals

2,3

1,6

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

9 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 7

17 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cartagena 21. · Alcorcon 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	33	20	7	6	+35	67
2	Mallorca	33	19	8	6	+21	65
3	Almeria	33	18	6	9	+19	60
4	Leganes	33	17	6	10	+10	57
5	Sp Gijon	33	15	11	7	+12	56
6	Vallecano	32	15	7	10	+9	52
7	Girona	33	13	10	10	+1	49
8	Ponferradina	33	13	9	11	-1	48
9	Malaga	33	12	9	12	-8	45
10	Mirandes	31	12	8	11	+1	44
11	Las Palmas	33	11	11	11	-4	44
12	Fuenlabrada	32	9	15	8	+0	42
13	Tenerife	32	11	8	13	+0	41
14	Oviedo	33	8	15	10	+0	39
15	Castellon	33	10	6	17	-8	36
16	Lugo	33	8	12	13	-11	36
17	Logrones	33	9	9	15	-18	36
18	Zaragoza	32	8	9	15	-7	33
19	Alcorcon	32	8	9	15	-9	33
20	Sabadell	33	7	11	15	-10	32
21	Cartagena	32	7	10	15	-12	31
22	Albacete	33	7	8	18	-20	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	17	13	1	3	+12	40
2	Espanol	16	12	2	2	+23	38
3	Sp Gijon	17	9	7	1	+11	34
4	Mallorca	17	10	3	4	+15	33
5	Almeria	17	9	5	3	+15	32
6	Las Palmas	17	9	4	4	+10	31
7	Tenerife	16	8	5	3	+11	29
8	Vallecano	15	9	2	4	+9	29
9	Ponferradina	16	8	5	3	+5	29
10	Girona	17	8	4	5	+4	28
11	Zaragoza	16	7	5	4	+4	26
12	Lugo	17	6	7	4	+4	25
13	Castellon	17	8	0	9	+4	24
14	Mirandes	15	5	7	3	+3	22
15	Oviedo	16	5	6	5	+3	21
16	Logrones	16	6	3	7	-5	21
17	Cartagena	16	5	5	6	+1	20
18	Alcorcon	16	6	2	8	-3	20
19	Fuenlabrada	16	3	10	3	+2	19
20	Malaga	16	4	6	6	-5	18
21	Albacete	17	4	5	8	-6	17
22	Sabadell	16	2	8	6	-4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	16	9	5	2	+6	32
2	Espanol	17	8	5	4	+12	29
3	Almeria	16	9	1	6	+4	28
4	Malaga	17	8	3	6	-3	27
5	Vallecano	17	6	5	6	+0	23
6	Fuenlabrada	16	6	5	5	-2	23
7	Sp Gijon	16	6	4	6	+1	22
8	Mirandes	16	7	1	8	-2	22
9	Girona	16	5	6	5	-3	21
10	Ponferradina	17	5	4	8	-6	19
11	Oviedo	17	3	9	5	-3	18
12	Sabadell	17	5	3	9	-6	18
13	Leganes	16	4	5	7	-2	17
14	Logrones	17	3	6	8	-13	15
15	Alcorcon	16	2	7	7	-6	13
16	Las Palmas	16	2	7	7	-14	13
17	Tenerife	16	3	3	10	-11	12
18	Castellon	16	2	6	8	-12	12
19	Albacete	16	3	3	10	-14	12
20	Cartagena	16	2	5	9	-13	11
21	Lugo	16	2	5	9	-15	11
22	Zaragoza	16	1	4	11	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.