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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Waregem
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Eupen
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
49%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
60%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
24 Shots 21
10 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 8
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waregem 4. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 21 5 4 +46 68
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Genk 31 15 10 6 +19 55
4 Waregem 35 17 4 14 -1 55
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 14 10 11 +3 52
6 Beerschot VA 35 15 6 14 -3 51
7 Mechelen 30 14 7 9 +5 49
8 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
9 Gent 30 13 6 11 +14 45
10 Oostende 30 13 6 11 +5 45
11 Charleroi 35 11 12 12 +1 45
12 Eupen 35 10 15 10 -6 45
13 Kortrijk 35 12 6 17 -7 42
14 Cercle Brugge 36 13 2 21 -10 41
15 Standard 30 10 9 11 +0 39
16 St Truiden 34 9 9 16 -11 36
17 Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 31 7 7 17 -24 28
20 Beveren 31 7 7 17 -24 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Eupen
18′
🟨 Emmanuel Agbadou
Laurens De Bock 🟨
21′
22′
S. Peeters 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Pletinckx
59′
72′
🟨 Jordi Amat
74′
🔁 B. Poulain
↦ J. Ngoy
74′
🔁 A. Baby
↦ K. Musona
80′
🟨 Emmanuel Agbadou
80′
🟥 Emmanuel Agbadou
81′
🔁 A. Beck
↦ Adriano
2–1 L. De Bock
O. Govea
82′
T. Chorý 🔁
↦ N. Kainourgios
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Waregem

3-5-2
25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
33 C. Humphreys D
24 E. Pletinckx M
43 N. Kainourgios M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
9 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
17 J. Dompé M
Bench (7)
15 T. Chorý
29 M. De Smet
1 S. Bossut
23 P. Armenakas
71 C. Thiam
80 Y. Sylla
53 A. Colassin

Coach: F. Dury

Eupen

4-3-3
31 T. Defourny G
21 Adriano D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 S. Miangué D
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
10 K. Musona M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
34 K. N’Dri F
Bench (7)
6 B. Poulain
11 A. Baby
32 A. Beck
30 R. Himmelmann
25 E. Sowah Adjei
18 A. Boljević
24 S. Gnaka

Coach: Beñat San José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,34
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.