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Super League
Referee: N Hänni
Basel
T U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Vaduz
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
23%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
62%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 5. · Vaduz 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 26 16 9 1 +28 57
2 Servette 27 10 8 9 -2 38
3 Lausanne 26 10 7 9 +4 37
4 Lugano 27 8 13 6 +3 37
5 Basel 26 10 6 10 +1 36
6 Zurich 27 9 7 11 -2 34
7 St. Gallen 27 8 9 10 -2 33
8 Luzern 27 8 8 11 +1 32
9 Sion 27 5 11 11 -13 26
10 Vaduz 26 6 8 12 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -20 Vaduz – Basel 0–2 20. Sep -20 Basel – Vaduz 2–2

Match report

Basel Vaduz
Fabian Frei 🟨
23′
23′
🟨 Denis Simani
37′
⚽ J. Schmied 0–1
M. Gajić
Half-time 1–1
1–1 V. Stocker ⚽
R. Petretta
56′
Y. Marchand 🔁
↦ A. Abrashi
60′
60′
🔁 T. Çiçek
↦ S. Wieser
R. van Wolfswinkel 🔁
↦ Arthur Cabral
70′
78′
🔁 M. Sutter
↦ D. Đokić
78′
🔁 L. Obexer
↦ N. Hug
D. Males 🔁
↦ F. Frei
81′
M. Sene 🔁
↦ A. Kalulu
81′
Mamadou Kaly Sene 🟨
83′
Silvan Widmer 🟨
90′
93′
⚽ Y. Schmid 1–2
M. Gajić
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
5 S. Widmer D
28 R. Petretta D
21 J. van der Werff D
14 V. Stocker M
7 L. Zuffi M
20 F. Frei M
6 A. Abrashi M
26 A. Kalulu M
98 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (7)
8 Y. Marchand
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
19 D. Males
77 M. Sene
22 O. Bunjaku
3 Gonçalo Cardoso
1 Đ. Nikolić

Coach: C. Sforza

Vaduz

3-5-1-1
1 B. Büchel G
4 D. Simani D
21 P. Dorn M
15 Y. Schmid D
22 N. Hug M
5 J. Schmied D
14 M. Gajić M
8 S. Wieser M
30 G. Lüchinger M
19 D. Đokić F
7 M. Di Giusto F
Bench (7)
11 T. Çiçek
9 M. Sutter
27 L. Obexer
18 J. Ospelt
6 F. Rahimi
29 S. Santin
10 M. Coulibaly

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.