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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Bristol City
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Swansea
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 3. · Swansea 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reading 6 5 1 0 +7 16
2 Watford 7 4 2 1 +4 14
3 Bristol City 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Bournemouth 7 3 4 0 +4 13
5 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Millwall 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Brentford 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Norwich 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Huddersfield 6 3 1 2 -1 10
10 Stoke 6 2 3 1 +1 9
11 Middlesbrough 6 2 3 1 +1 9
12 Luton 6 3 0 3 -1 9
13 Cardiff 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 +0 8
15 Blackburn 6 2 1 3 +5 7
16 Preston 6 2 1 3 +1 7
17 QPR 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
19 Birmingham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
20 Coventry 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Nott'm Forest 7 1 2 4 -5 5
22 Derby 7 1 1 5 -8 4
23 Barnsley 6 0 3 3 -4 3
24 Wycombe 6 0 0 6 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Swansea
32′
🟨 Korey Smith
Half-time 0–1
51′
J. Lowe 0–1
C. Roberts
C. O'Dowda 🔁
↦ A. Weimann
65′
F. Diedhiou 🔁
↦ S. Sessegnon
73′
77′
🔁 V. Gyökeres
↦ J. Lowe
N. Wells 🔁
↦ T. Moore
78′
80′
🟨 Connor Roberts
81′
🟨 Jay Fulton
83′
🟨 Matt Grimes
1–1 N. Wells
83′
87′
🟨 André Ayew
Nahki Wells 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

3-1-4-2
1 D. Bentley G
22 T. Kalas D
3 J. Dasilva M
23 T. Moore D
26 Z. Vyner D
43 S. Sessegnon M
29 C. Brunt M
7 C. Martin F
14 A. Weimann M
10 J. Paterson M
18 A. Semenyo F
Bench (7)
11 C. O'Dowda
9 F. Diedhiou
21 N. Wells
30 T. Bakinson
12 M. O’Leary
25 T. Rowe
2 J. Hunt

Coach: D. Holden

Swansea

3-5-2
1 F. Woodman G
2 R. Bennett D
24 J. Bidwell M
23 C. Roberts M
5 M. Guehi D
44 B. Cabango D
7 K. Smith M
6 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
10 A. Ayew F
9 J. Lowe F
Bench (7)
14 V. Gyökeres
15 W. Routledge
20 L. Cullen
3 R. Manning
13 S. Benda
26 K. Naughton
21 Y. Dhanda

Coach: S. Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U ✓
3,26
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.