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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

U T T T T

2–2

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

10%

40%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

70%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

8 Corners 2

12 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 17. · Erzgebirge Aue 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	11	6	4	1	+8	22
2	Greuther Furth	11	6	3	2	+11	21
3	Bochum	11	6	2	3	+9	20
4	Hamburg	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Heidenheim	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Karlsruhe	10	5	1	4	+5	16
7	Osnabruck	10	4	4	2	+1	16
8	Erzgebirge Aue	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Regensburg	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Paderborn	11	4	2	5	+1	14
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	2	4	-6	14
12	Nurnberg	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Hannover	11	4	1	6	-1	13
14	Darmstadt	11	3	3	5	-4	12
15	Sandhausen	11	3	2	6	-9	11
16	Braunschweig	10	3	2	5	-11	11
17	St Pauli	10	1	4	5	-6	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	10	1	1	8	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	4	1	0	+4	13
3	Bochum	6	3	2	1	+8	11
4	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Hamburg	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Regensburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Braunschweig	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Paderborn	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Sandhausen	6	2	2	2	-4	8
12	Greuther Furth	5	2	1	2	+3	7
13	Osnabruck	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Karlsruhe	4	2	0	2	+2	6
15	Darmstadt	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Nurnberg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Pauli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Wurzburger Kickers	6	1	1	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Holstein Kiel	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Hamburg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Osnabruck	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Bochum	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Nurnberg	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Darmstadt	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Paderborn	6	1	2	3	-1	5
11	Regensburg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Heidenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	St Pauli	6	0	3	3	-4	3
14	Sandhausen	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Hannover	6	1	0	5	-6	3
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	0	1	4	-10	1
17	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-12	1
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.