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2. Bundesliga
0–0
Full-time
Hamburg
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,3
3,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 59%
53%
65%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
71%
76%
Both score Ø 59%
47%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 0
3 Corners 4
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 4. · Hamburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 17 11 3 3 +19 36
2 Bochum 17 10 3 4 +15 33
3 Holstein Kiel 17 9 5 3 +11 32
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 9 4 4 +5 31
5 Greuther Furth 17 8 5 4 +10 29
6 Erzgebirge Aue 18 8 4 6 +5 28
7 Hannover 17 8 2 7 +8 26
8 Karlsruhe 17 8 2 7 +4 26
9 Heidenheim 17 7 5 5 +2 26
10 Paderborn 17 7 4 6 +3 25
11 Osnabruck 17 6 4 7 -7 22
12 Nurnberg 17 5 5 7 -3 20
13 Regensburg 17 5 5 7 -4 20
14 Darmstadt 17 5 3 9 -5 18
15 St Pauli 17 3 7 7 -7 16
16 Sandhausen 17 4 3 10 -17 15
17 Braunschweig 17 3 5 9 -20 14
18 Wurzburger Kickers 18 2 3 13 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U ✓
3,25
B
2,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.