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Super League

Referee: S Koubarakis

Aris Thessalonikis

S U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Larisa

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

1,2

Scored

0,5

0,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Super League · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 33%

61%

Points per game

2,0

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

33%

37%

Both score Ø 32%

22%

42%

Average goals

1,9

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

0,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

7 Shots 2

5 Shots on target 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 33

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · Larisa 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	16	3	0	+39	51
2	AEK	19	12	4	3	+12	40
3	Aris	19	12	3	4	+13	39
4	PAOK	19	10	6	3	+16	36
5	Aris Thessalonikis	18	11	3	4	+12	36
6	Panathinaikos	20	10	4	6	+8	34
7	Asteras Tripolis	20	8	6	6	-1	30
8	Volos NFC	20	5	8	7	-8	23
9	Atromitos	19	5	7	7	-7	22
10	OFI Crete	20	5	4	11	-14	19
11	Apollon	19	5	3	11	-6	18
12	Giannina	20	3	8	9	-6	17
13	Panetolikos	19	2	6	11	-14	12
14	Lamia	18	2	4	12	-21	10
15	Larisa	19	1	5	13	-23	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	9	0	0	+23	27
2	PAOK	9	6	3	0	+10	21
3	Aris	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	AEK	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Panathinaikos	10	5	2	3	+5	17
6	Asteras Tripolis	9	5	2	2	+2	17
7	Aris Thessalonikis	9	5	1	3	+4	16
8	Atromitos	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Volos NFC	9	2	4	3	-3	10
10	OFI Crete	11	2	3	6	-11	9
11	Giannina	10	1	5	4	-3	8
12	Panetolikos	10	2	2	6	-6	8
13	Lamia	10	2	2	6	-9	8
14	Apollon	9	1	1	7	-7	4
15	Larisa	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	7	3	0	+16	24
2	AEK	10	7	1	2	+4	22
3	Aris Thessalonikis	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Aris	9	6	2	1	+8	20
5	Panathinaikos	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	PAOK	10	4	3	3	+6	15
7	Apollon	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Asteras Tripolis	11	3	4	4	-3	13
9	Volos NFC	11	3	4	4	-5	13
10	OFI Crete	9	3	1	5	-3	10
11	Giannina	10	2	3	5	-3	9
12	Atromitos	8	1	3	4	-7	6
13	Panetolikos	9	0	4	5	-8	4
14	Larisa	10	1	1	8	-13	4
15	Lamia	8	0	2	6	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.