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2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
S T U U U
2–1
Full-time
Dresden
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Dresden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

19 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 7
6 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 16. · Dresden 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 12 8 2 2 +17 26
2 Regensburg 12 7 4 1 +15 25
3 Schalke 04 12 7 1 4 +8 22
4 Paderborn 12 6 3 3 +11 21
5 Nurnberg 12 5 6 1 +7 21
6 Darmstadt 12 6 2 4 +13 20
7 Hamburg 12 4 7 1 +5 19
8 Heidenheim 12 5 3 4 -4 18
9 Karlsruhe 12 4 4 4 +0 16
10 Werder Bremen 12 4 4 4 -1 16
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Hansa Rostock 12 4 2 6 -7 14
13 Dresden 12 4 1 7 -3 13
14 Hannover 12 3 3 6 -8 12
15 Sandhausen 12 3 3 6 -11 12
16 Holstein Kiel 12 2 5 5 -10 11
17 Erzgebirge Aue 12 1 5 6 -10 8
18 Ingolstadt 12 1 2 9 -21 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,58
B
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.