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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Twente
S U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Heracles
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
55%
40%
Both score Ø 66%
82%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 9. · Heracles 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 8 2 1 +35 26
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 8 0 3 +8 24
3 Utrecht 11 7 2 2 +14 23
4 Feyenoord 10 7 1 2 +13 22
5 Vitesse 11 6 1 4 -6 19
6 Willem II 11 5 3 3 -2 18
7 Nijmegen 11 5 2 4 -2 17
8 Go Ahead Eagles 11 5 1 5 -5 16
9 Twente 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Cambuur 11 5 0 6 -6 15
11 Heerenveen 10 4 1 5 -3 13
12 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 0 5 +3 12
13 Heracles 10 3 2 5 -4 11
14 Waalwijk 11 2 4 5 -3 10
15 Groningen 11 2 4 5 -8 10
16 For Sittard 10 2 3 5 -9 9
17 Sparta Rotterdam 11 1 4 6 -11 7
18 Zwolle 11 1 1 9 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Heracles
1–0 M. Hilgers
5′
31′
🔁 I. Azzaoui
↦ N. Bakboord
Half-time 1–0
J. Oosterwolde 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
61′
Michal Sadílek 🟨
63′
Ricky van Wolfswinkel 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Kaj Sierhuis
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
66′
Julio Pleguezuelo 🔁
↦ M. Hilgers
66′
Daan Rots 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 S. Bakış
↦ K. Sierhuis
81′
🔁 N. Laursen
↦ D. Burgzorg
J. Bosch 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
84′
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ D. Rots
84′
91′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
94′
🔁 E. Sierra
↦ G. Quagliata
95′
🟨 Sinan Bakış
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
2 G. Troupée D
35 M. Hilgers D
6 W. Brama M
23 M. Sadílek D
18 D. Limnios F
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
39 D. Rots F
Bench (11)
17 J. Oosterwolde
27 M. Ugalde
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
32 J. Bosch
10 V. Misidjan
43 D. Đumić
30 E. van der Gouw
22 J. de Lange
8 L. Ilić
5 G. Smal
26 D. Cleonise

Coach: R. Jans

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
13 M. Knoester D
19 N. Bakboord D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga M
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
16 K. Sierhuis F
37 D. Burgzorg M
Bench (12)
18 I. Azzaoui
9 S. Bakış
11 N. Laursen
8 E. Sierra
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
15 L. Schoofs
26 K. Bucker
34 A. Damen
25 R. Polley
4 S. Sonnenberg
12 R. Roosken
22 M. Leš

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,38
B
3,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.