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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 39%

33%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 5

6 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 11. · Nurnberg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Regensburg	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Schalke 04	10	6	1	3	+6	19
4	Paderborn	10	5	3	2	+10	18
5	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+4	16
6	Hamburg	10	3	6	1	+4	15
7	Nurnberg	9	3	6	0	+4	15
8	Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	-1	15
9	Werder Bremen	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Darmstadt	9	4	1	4	+8	13
11	Dresden	9	4	1	4	+2	13
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Hannover	10	3	2	5	-6	11
14	Hansa Rostock	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Holstein Kiel	10	2	3	5	-10	9
16	Sandhausen	9	2	1	6	-12	7
17	Ingolstadt	10	1	2	7	-17	5
18	Erzgebirge Aue	10	0	4	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Regensburg	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Nurnberg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Darmstadt	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Dresden	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Heidenheim	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Schalke 04	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Hamburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Hannover	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Paderborn	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Holstein Kiel	5	1	0	4	-8	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Ingolstadt	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Sandhausen	5	0	1	4	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Schalke 04	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Hamburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Regensburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	St Pauli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Hansa Rostock	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Heidenheim	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Holstein Kiel	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	Hannover	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Darmstadt	5	1	1	3	+0	4
15	Nurnberg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
16	Dresden	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Ingolstadt	5	1	0	4	-12	3
18	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	2	3	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.