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Bundesliga

Referee: Harm Osmers

Nurnberg

T U U S T

3–0

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

20%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

20%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Hertha	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Dortmund	5	3	2	0	+12	11
4	Werder Bremen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	M'gladbach	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Wolfsburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Mainz	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	RB Leipzig	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Freiburg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Nurnberg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
15	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Hannover	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Stuttgart	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Schalke 04	5	0	0	5	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Werder Bremen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Hertha	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Dortmund	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Stuttgart	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	RB Leipzig	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Nurnberg	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.