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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Hamburg
S S S T T
5–3
Full-time
Schalke 04
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
31 Shots 11
14 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
9 Corners 3
5 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Dec -21 Hamburg – Schalke 04 1–1 23. Jul -21 Schalke 04 – Hamburg 1–3 7. Apr -18 Hamburg – Schalke 04 3–2 19. Nov -17 Schalke 04 – Hamburg 2–0 13. May -17 Schalke 04 – Hamburg 1–1

Match report

Hamburg Schalke 04
Levin Öztunali 🟨
12′
1–0 R. Glatzel ⚽
I. Pherai
16′
Moritz Heyer 🟨
19′
22′
⚽ A. Ouédraogo 1–1
S. Terodde
Half-time 1–2
46′
⚽ T. Ouwejan 1–2
S. Terodde
55′
🟨 Ibrahima Cissé
2–2 L. Bénes ⚽
56′
3–2 L. Bénes ⚽
R. Glatzel
60′
61′
🔁 B. Lasme
↦ A. Ouédraogo
61′
🔁 P. Seguin
↦ T. Mohr
63′
🟨 Ron Schallenberg
66′
⚽ S. Terodde 3–3
R. Schallenberg
B. Jatta 🔁
↦ R. Königsdörffer
69′
71′
🟨 Ibrahima Cissé
71′
🟥 Ibrahima Cissé
72′
🔁 H. Matriciani
↦ K. Karaman
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ L. Öztunalı
78′
78′
🔁 D. Latza
↦ D. Drexler
78′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ S. Terodde
M. Muheim 🔁
↦ M. Heyer
80′
4–3 R. Glatzel ⚽
91′
Robert Glatzel 🟨
92′
N. Oliveira 🔁
↦ I. Van der Brempt
93′
E. Krahn 🔁
↦ I. Pherai
93′
5–3 J. Dompé ⚽
L. Bénes
99′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
35 S. Ambrosius D
3 M. Heyer D
21 L. Öztunalı M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
11 R. Königsdörffer F
9 R. Glatzel F
10 I. Pherai F
Bench (9)
18 B. Jatta
27 J. Dompé
28 M. Muheim
47 N. Oliveira
46 E. Krahn
34 J. David
41 Omar Megeed
20 A. Németh
19 M. Raab

Coach: T. Walter

Schalke 04

4-3-3
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Brunner D
22 I. Cissé D
35 M. Kamiński D
2 T. Ouwejan D
24 D. Drexler M
6 R. Schallenberg M
43 A. Ouédraogo M
19 K. Karaman F
9 S. Terodde F
29 T. Mohr F
Bench (9)
11 B. Lasme
7 P. Seguin
41 H. Matriciani
8 D. Latza
40 S. Polter
21 N. Tauer
18 B. Idrizi
14 S. Kozuki
34 M. Langer

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
🔒
U
3,64
🔒
B
2,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,51
🔒
U2,5
2,50
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.