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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Waschitzki
Hamburg
T S T U S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
5,2
2,5
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 42%
56%
28%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 66%
59%
72%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Greuther Furth 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 33 20 7 6 +21 67
2 Heidenheim 33 18 10 5 +30 64
3 Hamburg 32 18 6 8 +23 60
4 St Pauli 33 16 9 8 +16 57
5 Paderborn 33 16 7 10 +25 55
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 16 6 10 +14 54
7 Kaiserslautern 32 11 12 9 +4 45
8 Hannover 32 12 7 13 -1 43
9 Holstein Kiel 33 11 10 12 -7 43
10 Karlsruhe 32 12 6 14 +1 42
11 Magdeburg 33 11 7 15 -11 40
12 Greuther Furth 32 9 11 12 -6 38
13 Hansa Rostock 32 11 4 17 -17 37
14 Braunschweig 33 9 9 15 -16 36
15 Nurnberg 32 9 8 15 -18 35
16 Bielefeld 33 9 7 17 -8 34
17 Regensburg 33 8 7 18 -23 31
18 Sandhausen 33 7 7 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Greuther Furth
Ludovit Reis 🟨
19′
1–0 M. Muheim
J. Dompé
27′
Half-time 1–0
L. Bénes 🔁
↦ L. Reis
46′
47′
🟨 Gideon Jung
62′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ R. Ache
62′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ A. Sieb
67′
🟨 Gian-Luca Itter
2–0 L. Bénes
69′
R. Königsdörffer 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
77′
77′
🔁 S. Asta
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
78′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ G. Jung
Jonas Meffert 🟨
82′
84′
L. Petkov 2–1
Bakery Jatta 🟨
86′
Bakery Jatta 🟨
87′
Bakery Jatta 🟥
87′
88′
🔁 T. Raschl
↦ M. Christiansen
A. Suhonen 🔁
↦ S. Kittel
89′
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer 🟨
93′
96′
🟥 Dickson Abiama
96′
ℹ️ Dickson Abiama
VAR: Card upgrade
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
3 M. Heyer D
34 J. David D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
10 S. Kittel M
23 J. Meffert M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
8 L. Bénes
11 R. Königsdörffer
36 A. Suhonen
42 O. Heil
16 Javi Montero
46 E. Krahn
7 F. Bilbija
19 M. Raab
2 W. Mikelbrencis

Coach: T. Walter

Greuther Furth

3-5-2
1 A. Linde G
22 S. Griesbeck D
23 G. Jung D
27 L. Itter D
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
10 B. Hrgota M
13 M. Christiansen M
37 J. Green M
24 M. John M
39 R. Ache F
30 A. Sieb F
Bench (8)
11 D. Abiama
16 L. Petkov
2 S. Asta
9 Afimico Pululu
20 T. Raschl
25 L. Schaffran
8 N. Seufert
33 M. Dietz

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,78
B
5,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Waschitzki · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.