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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian Dingert

Hamburg

T U T T U

3–2

Full-time

Schalke 04

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 34%

14%

54%

Points per game

0,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

43%

39%

Both score Ø 45%

39%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 1

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 18. · Schalke 04 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	23	3	3	+55	72
2	Schalke 04	28	15	7	6	+13	52
3	Dortmund	28	13	9	6	+15	48
4	RB Leipzig	28	13	7	8	+6	46
5	Leverkusen	28	12	9	7	+12	45
6	Ein Frankfurt	28	13	6	9	+7	45
7	Hoffenheim	28	11	9	8	+11	42
8	M'gladbach	29	11	7	11	-5	40
9	Stuttgart	28	11	5	12	-5	38
10	Hertha	29	8	12	9	-1	36
11	Augsburg	29	9	9	11	-2	36
12	Werder Bremen	29	9	9	11	-2	36
13	Hannover	29	9	8	12	-6	35
14	Freiburg	29	6	12	11	-22	30
15	Wolfsburg	29	5	14	10	-7	29
16	Mainz	29	6	9	14	-17	27
17	FC Koln	29	5	6	18	-28	21
18	Hamburg	28	4	7	17	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	Hoffenheim	14	8	4	2	+16	28
3	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+11	28
4	Schalke 04	14	8	4	2	+9	28
5	Stuttgart	14	8	3	3	+5	27
6	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+13	25
7	M'gladbach	15	7	4	4	+3	25
8	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	3	4	+7	24
9	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Leverkusen	14	6	5	3	+7	23
11	Werder Bremen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
12	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	-3	21
13	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-1	19
14	Hertha	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-3	18
16	Wolfsburg	14	2	7	5	-3	13
17	Hamburg	14	3	4	7	-5	13
18	FC Koln	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+4	24
3	Dortmund	14	6	5	3	+2	23
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+5	22
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Hertha	15	4	6	5	+0	18
7	RB Leipzig	14	5	3	6	-5	18
8	Augsburg	14	4	5	5	-1	17
9	Wolfsburg	15	3	7	5	-4	16
10	M'gladbach	14	4	3	7	-8	15
11	Hoffenheim	14	3	5	6	-5	14
12	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Stuttgart	14	3	2	9	-10	11
14	Hannover	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Mainz	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	Freiburg	14	1	6	7	-19	9
17	FC Koln	14	2	2	10	-20	8
18	Hamburg	14	1	3	10	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.