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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Schalke 04
U S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Hamburg
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
55%
27%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
27%
55%
Both score Ø 36%
36%
36%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 6. · Hamburg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 2 1 +22 29
2 RB Leipzig 12 7 2 3 +5 23
3 M'gladbach 12 6 3 3 +0 21
4 Dortmund 12 6 2 4 +13 20
5 Hoffenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
6 Schalke 04 11 6 2 3 +4 20
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 5 4 3 +2 19
8 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +4 18
9 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 +7 17
10 Augsburg 12 4 4 4 +2 16
11 Stuttgart 12 5 1 6 -3 16
12 Mainz 12 4 3 5 -4 15
13 Wolfsburg 12 2 8 2 -1 14
14 Hertha 12 3 5 4 -3 14
15 Hamburg 11 3 1 7 -8 10
16 Freiburg 12 1 5 6 -17 8
17 Werder Bremen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
18 FC Koln 12 0 2 10 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Hamburg
1–0 F. Di Santo
17′
28′
🟨 Tatsuya Ito
35′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ T. Ito
Half-time 1–0
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ F. Di Santo
46′
Naldo 🟨
53′
Breel Embolo 🟨
55′
69′
🔁 B. Wood
↦ G. Sakai
Max Meyer 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Kyriakos Papadopoulos
73′
🟨 Gideon Jung
2–0 G. Burgstaller
Y. Konoplyanka
77′
83′
🔁 A. Hahn
↦ F. Kostić
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
87′
M. Nastasić 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-3
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
24 B. Oczipka M
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
17 B. Stambouli D
7 M. Meyer M
2 W. McKennie M
19 G. Burgstaller F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
36 B. Embolo
28 A. Schöpf
5 M. Nastasić
16 F. Reese
23 Coke
25 A. Harit
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Mathenia G
5 M. Mavraj D
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
24 G. Sakai D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
14 A. Hunt M
17 F. Kostić M
43 T. Ito M
40 J. Arp F
Bench (7)
15 L. Waldschmidt
7 B. Wood
11 A. Hahn
4 R. van Drongelen
16 V. Janjičić
23 S. Salihović
36 T. Mickel

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.