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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Lechner
Karlsruhe
S S S U U
3–3
Full-time
Darmstadt
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,5
3,8
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
3,9
3,6
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,6
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 3. · Darmstadt 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 5 2 0 +7 17
2 Magdeburg 7 4 3 0 +8 15
3 Karlsruhe 7 4 3 0 +5 15
4 Hannover 7 4 1 2 +5 13
5 Paderborn 7 3 4 0 +4 13
6 Hamburg 7 3 3 1 +8 12
7 Hertha 7 3 1 3 -1 10
8 FC Koln 7 2 3 2 +5 9
9 Elversberg 7 2 3 2 +4 9
10 Greuther Furth 7 2 3 2 +3 9
11 Kaiserslautern 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Ulm 7 2 1 4 +0 7
13 Schalke 04 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 Nurnberg 7 2 1 4 -6 7
15 Preußen Münster 7 1 2 4 -4 5
16 Darmstadt 7 1 2 4 -7 5
17 Braunschweig 7 1 1 5 -12 4
18 Regensburg 7 1 1 5 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Darmstadt
Dženis Burnić 🟨
6′
1–0 D. Burnić
11′
15′
I. Lidberg 1–1
F. Hornby
2–1 L. Jensen
28′
Half-time 2–1
D. Herold 🔁
↦ L. Günther
46′
46′
🔁 F. Nürnberger
↦ Guille Bueno
46′
🔁 L. Marseiler
↦ K. Corredor
51′
ℹ️ Philipp Förster
VAR: Goal cancelled
54′
K. Klefisch 2–2
A. Vukotić
C. Kobald 🔁
↦ M. Franke
57′
B. Conté 🔁
↦ N. Rapp
66′
Christoph Kobald 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 T. Kempe
↦ P. Förster
69′
🔁 F. Lakenmacher
↦ F. Hornby
Leon Jensen 🟨
71′
74′
A. Vukotić 2–3
T. Kempe
3–3 F. Schleusener
D. Herold
77′
A. Hunziker 🔁
↦ B. Zivzivadze
78′
R. Heußer 🔁
↦ D. Burnić
79′
Andrin Hunziker 🟨
82′
87′
🟨 Clemens Riedel
89′
🔁 M. Thiede
↦ Sergio López
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
1 M. Weiß G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
29 L. Günther D
7 D. Burnić M
17 N. Rapp M
6 L. Jensen M
10 M. Wanitzek M
24 F. Schleusener F
11 B. Zivzivadze F
Bench (9)
20 D. Herold
22 C. Kobald
31 B. Conté
9 A. Hunziker
5 R. Heußer
36 R. Pedrosa
16 L. Pfeiffer
30 R. Himmelmann
35 R. Geller

Coach: C. Eichner

Darmstadt

4-2-2-2
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
3 Guille Bueno D
17 K. Klefisch M
16 A. Müller M
18 P. Förster M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (9)
15 F. Nürnberger
8 L. Marseiler
11 T. Kempe
19 F. Lakenmacher
13 M. Thiede
21 M. Papela
22 K. Niemczycki
23 K. Gjasula
5 M. Maglica

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U ✓
4,10
B
4,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,53
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.