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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Darmstadt
S U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Magdeburg
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Darmstadt 15. · Magdeburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 5 2 0 +7 17
2 Karlsruhe 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Magdeburg 6 3 3 0 +7 12
4 Paderborn 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Hamburg 6 3 2 1 +8 11
6 Hannover 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hertha 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Greuther Furth 7 2 3 2 +3 9
9 FC Koln 6 2 2 2 +5 8
10 Kaiserslautern 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Ulm 7 2 1 4 +0 7
12 Nurnberg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Elversberg 6 1 3 2 +1 6
14 Preußen Münster 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -6 5
16 Schalke 04 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Braunschweig 7 1 1 5 -12 4
18 Regensburg 6 1 0 5 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Magdeburg
1–0 I. Lidberg
11′
Andreas Müller 🟨
17′
22′
L. Burcu 1–1
M. El Hankouri
41′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
Half-time 1–2
48′
C. Krempicki 1–2
L. Burcu
P. Förster 🔁
↦ F. Hornby
60′
F. Lakenmacher 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
60′
60′
🔁 A. Nollenberger
↦ P. Hercher
Kai Klefisch 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Jean Hugonet
67′
🔁 Bryan Teixeira
↦ X. Amaechi
67′
🔁 T. Ito
↦ L. Burcu
71′
🟨 Alexander Nollenberger
73′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
73′
🟥 Marcus Mathisen
F. Nürnberger 🔁
↦ K. Corredor
76′
M. Papela 🔁
↦ L. Marseiler
76′
80′
🔁 F. Michel
↦ C. Krempicki
80′
🔁 A. Hoti
↦ S. Gnaka
82′
🟨 Tatsuya Ito
T. Kempe 🔁
↦ Guille Bueno
87′
Tobias Kempe 🟨
94′
Philipp Förster 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-1-3-2
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
3 Guille Bueno D
16 A. Müller M
17 K. Klefisch M
8 L. Marseiler M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (9)
18 P. Förster
19 F. Lakenmacher
15 F. Nürnberger
21 M. Papela
11 T. Kempe
5 M. Maglica
13 M. Thiede
23 K. Gjasula
22 K. Niemczycki

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
15 D. Heber D
27 P. Hercher M
13 C. Krempicki M
25 S. Gnaka M
11 M. El Hankouri M
20 X. Amaechi F
9 M. Kaars F
29 L. Burcu F
Bench (9)
17 A. Nollenberger
8 Bryan Teixeira
37 T. Ito
21 F. Michel
3 A. Hoti
5 T. Müller
31 R. Leipertz
14 A. El-Zein
30 N. Kruth

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U
3,76
B ✓
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.