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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Dunkerque
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Troyes
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,4
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 6
9 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dunkerque 5. · Troyes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 7 5 0 2 +6 15
2 Grenoble 7 4 1 2 +6 13
3 Guingamp 7 4 1 2 +5 13
4 Lorient 7 4 1 2 +5 13
5 Dunkerque 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Metz 7 3 3 1 +8 12
7 Annecy 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Bastia 7 3 3 1 +2 12
9 Amiens 7 4 0 3 +1 12
10 Laval 7 3 2 2 +5 11
11 Pau FC 7 3 2 2 +2 11
12 Ajaccio 7 3 1 3 -1 10
13 Caen 7 2 1 4 -5 7
14 Red Star 7 2 1 4 -7 7
15 Clermont 7 1 2 4 -5 5
16 Troyes 7 1 1 5 -9 4
17 Martigues 7 1 1 5 -13 4
18 Rodez 7 1 0 6 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Troyes
43′
R. Saïd 0–1
I. Boura
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Rafiki Saïd
Alec Georgen 🟨
48′
1–1 Opa Sanganté
N. Skyttä
53′
G. Courtet 🔁
↦ M. Rivera
58′
2–1 Y. Bammou
U. Raghouber
64′
69′
🟨 Abdoulaye Kante
73′
🔁 R. Ripart
↦ R. Saïd
73′
🔁 K. Dong
↦ M. Adeline
N. Nsingi 🔁
↦ K. Tejan
75′
80′
🔁 T. Baldé
↦ P. Ba
80′
🔁 R. Fage
↦ P. Gozzi
82′
🟨 Abdoulaye Kante
82′
🟥 Abdoulaye Kante
89′
🔁 J. Assoumou
↦ C. Irié
Y. Sekongo 🔁
↦ E. Bardeli
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
1 E. Jaouen G
2 A. Georgen D
23 V. Sasso D
26 Opa Sanganté D
30 Abner D
28 U. Raghouber M
9 K. Tejan M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
8 M. Rivera M
19 Y. Bammou F
Bench (7)
18 G. Courtet
7 N. Nsingi
15 Y. Sekongo
80 G. Yassine
17 B. Youssouf
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz
16 Adrián Ortolá

Coach: Luís Castro

Troyes

4-5-1
1 Z. Boucher G
14 I. Boura D
6 A. Monfray D
4 J. Diaz D
23 P. Gozzi D
21 C. Irié M
8 M. Diop M
42 A. Kanté M
24 M. Adeline M
11 R. Saïd M
25 P. Ba F
Bench (7)
20 R. Ripart
27 K. Dong
18 T. Baldé
28 R. Fage
15 J. Assoumou
16 N. Lemaître
7 X. Chavalerin

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,25
B
3,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.