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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Erbst
Hertha
T U S T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
40%
13%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
47%
Both score Ø 67%
73%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 11. · Preußen Münster 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 15 7 6 2 +6 27
2 Kaiserslautern 15 7 5 3 +8 26
3 Hannover 15 8 2 5 +6 26
4 Elversberg 15 7 4 4 +9 25
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 7 4 4 +8 25
6 FC Koln 15 7 4 4 +6 25
7 Hamburg 15 6 6 3 +11 24
8 Magdeburg 15 6 6 3 +3 24
9 Karlsruhe 15 6 5 4 +0 23
10 Darmstadt 15 5 6 4 +4 21
11 Hertha 15 6 3 6 +1 21
12 Nurnberg 15 5 4 6 +2 19
13 Greuther Furth 15 4 5 6 -5 17
14 Schalke 04 15 4 4 7 -4 16
15 Braunschweig 15 3 4 8 -16 13
16 Ulm 15 2 6 7 -4 12
17 Preußen Münster 15 2 6 7 -6 12
18 Regensburg 15 2 2 11 -29 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Preußen Münster
20′
🟨 Jorrit Hendrix
27′
🟨 Jano ter Horst
1–0 D. Scherhant ⚽
28′
35′
🔁 D. Kyerewaa
↦ J. Mees
Half-time 1–0
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ I. Maza
46′
46′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ J. ter Horst
48′
🟨 Yassine Bouchama
Michaël Cuisance 🟨
51′
J. Þorsteinsson 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
57′
57′
⚽ D. Kyerewaa 1–1
Diego Demme 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ A. Németh
79′
🔁 R. Preißinger
↦ J. Hendrix
79′
🔁 M. Lorenz
↦ Y. Bouchama
87′
⚽ T. Paetow 1–2
H. Friðjónsson
P. Dárdai 🔁
↦ P. Klemens
89′
91′
🟨 Mikkel Kirkeskov
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
37 T. Leistner D
31 M. Dárdai D
42 D. Zeefuik D
41 P. Klemens M
6 D. Demme M
27 M. Cuisance M
10 I. Maza M
39 D. Scherhant M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (8)
9 S. Prevljak
24 J. Þorsteinsson
20 P. Dárdai
5 A. Bouchalakis
21 B. Lum
35 M. Gersbeck
48 M. Morgenstern
26 G. Christensen

Coach: C. Fiél

Preußen Münster

5-3-2
1 J. Schenk G
27 J. ter Horst D
24 N. Koulis D
16 T. Paetow D
29 L. Frenkert D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
5 Y. Bouchama M
20 J. Hendrix M
8 J. Mees M
28 A. Németh F
14 C. Makridis F
Bench (9)
7 D. Kyerewaa
30 E. Amenyido
31 H. Friðjónsson
21 R. Preißinger
18 M. Lorenz
32 L. Bazzoli
15 S. Scherder
9 J. Grodowski
26 M. Behrens

Coach: S. Hildmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U
4,21
B ✓
5,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.