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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
FC Koln
S S S T U
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 37%
52%
21%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
52%
41%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 12
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 2. · Preußen Münster 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 30 14 11 5 +27 53
2 FC Koln 29 15 6 8 +9 51
3 Elversberg 30 13 9 8 +21 48
4 Paderborn 30 13 9 8 +10 48
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 13 9 8 +5 48
6 Magdeburg 29 12 10 7 +13 46
7 Kaiserslautern 30 13 7 10 +3 46
8 Nurnberg 30 13 5 12 +3 44
9 Hannover 29 11 10 8 +5 43
10 Karlsruhe 29 11 8 10 -3 41
11 Schalke 04 30 10 8 12 -4 38
12 Hertha 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Darmstadt 29 9 8 12 +2 35
14 Greuther Furth 29 9 8 12 -12 35
15 Braunschweig 30 8 9 13 -20 33
16 Preußen Münster 29 6 10 13 -8 28
17 Ulm 29 5 11 13 -6 26
18 Regensburg 29 6 4 19 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Preußen Münster
1–0 T. Lemperle
J. Thielmann
11′
Jan Thielmann 🟨
34′
39′
T. Hübers 2–0
own goal
Eric Martel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 L. Waldschmidt
46′
4–0 D. Downs
L. Waldschmidt
56′
62′
🔁 F. Pick
↦ D. Kinsombi
62′
🔁 D. Kyerewaa
↦ S. Scherder
69′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ C. Makridis
69′
🔁 M. Lorenz
↦ J. Mees
M. Olesen 🔁
↦ D. Ljubičić
73′
M. Uth 🔁
↦ L. Waldschmidt
74′
80′
🔁 J. ter Horst
↦ D. Schad
82′
🟨 Marc Lorenz
D. Huseinbašić 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
88′
J. Pauli 🔁
↦ D. Heintz
88′
M. Sponsel 🔁
↦ J. Thielmann
94′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-1-2
1 M. Schwäbe G
29 J. Thielmann D
4 T. Hübers D
3 D. Heintz D
17 L. Paqarada D
7 D. Ljubičić M
6 E. Martel M
11 F. Kainz M
9 L. Waldschmidt M
42 D. Downs F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
47 M. Olesen
13 M. Uth
8 D. Huseinbašić
24 J. Pauli
36 M. Sponsel
26 A. Racioppi
21 S. Tigges
2 J. Schmied
27 I. Rondić

Coach: G. Struber

Preußen Münster

3-4-2-1
1 J. Schenk G
15 S. Scherder D
10 S. Mrowca D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
22 D. Schad M
32 L. Bazzoli M
20 J. Hendrix M
14 C. Makridis M
23 M. Batmaz F
8 J. Mees F
4 D. Kinsombi F
Bench (9)
13 F. Pick
7 D. Kyerewaa
31 H. Friðjónsson
18 M. Lorenz
27 J. ter Horst
21 R. Preißinger
30 E. Amenyido
26 M. Behrens
24 N. Koulis

Coach: S. Hildmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,12
B
5,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.