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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Gent
S T T T S
0–5
Full-time
Club Brugge
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 55%
39%
70%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
48%
65%
Both score Ø 54%
43%
65%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,44 xG 5,16
38% Possession 62%
3 Shots 20
0 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 6. · Club Brugge 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 24 17 3 4 +21 +18.5 54
2 Club Brugge 23 16 5 2 +30 +28.1 53
3 St. Gilloise 24 15 6 3 +28 +26.1 51
4 Anderlecht 24 12 6 6 +20 +6.3 42
5 Antwerp 23 10 9 4 +15 -2.3 39
6 Gent 23 9 8 6 +8 -3.6 35
7 Charleroi 23 8 8 7 +3 +2.4 32
8 Dender 24 7 9 8 -7 -11.0 30
9 Cercle Brugge 27 7 9 11 -17 -3.3 30
10 Standard 24 7 8 9 -13 -8.8 29
11 Westerlo 24 6 7 11 -3 +0.0 25
12 Mechelen 24 6 7 11 -5 +2.5 25
13 St Truiden 27 6 7 14 -22 -7.6 25
14 Kortrijk 27 7 3 17 -23 -15.0 24
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 3 13 8 -7 -6.5 22
16 Beerschot VA 27 2 8 17 -28 -25.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Club Brugge
9′
C. Tzolis 0–1
H. Vanaken
13′
C. Tzolis 0–2
34′
K. Sabbe 0–3
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 N. Jackers
↦ S. Mignolet
A. Omgba 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
46′
Atsuki Ito 🟨
51′
52′
R. Vermant 0–4
J. Ordoñez
S. Mitrović 🔁
↦ N. Fadiga
57′
Tiago Araújo 🔁
↦ A. Brown
57′
M. Delorge 🔁
↦ S. Kums
61′
61′
🔁 H. Siquet
↦ K. Sabbe
61′
🔁 C. Talbi
↦ Ferran Jutglà
66′
R. Vermant 0–5
C. Tzolis
Leonardo Lopes 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ R. Vermant
74′
🔁 H. Vetlesen
↦ A. Jashari
O. Gandelman 🔁
↦ A. Ito
81′
90′
🟨 Michał Skóraś
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-2-1
32 T. Vandenberghe G
18 M. Samoise D
4 T. Watanabe D
23 J. Torunarigha D
22 N. Fadiga M
5 Leonardo Lopes M
24 S. Kums M
3 A. Brown M
15 A. Ito F
17 A. Hjulsager F
14 D. Vanzeir F
Bench (9)
10 A. Omgba
13 S. Mitrović
20 Tiago Araújo
16 M. Delorge
6 O. Gandelman
9 A. Guðjohnsen
11 M. Sonko
19 F. Surdez
30 C. De Schrevel

Coach: D. Miličević

Club Brugge

4-3-3
22 S. Mignolet G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
20 H. Vanaken M
30 A. Jashari M
15 R. Onyedika M
8 C. Tzolis F
17 R. Vermant F
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (9)
29 N. Jackers
41 H. Siquet
68 C. Talbi
21 M. Skóraś
10 H. Vetlesen
2 Z. Romero
62 L. Audoor
27 C. Nielsen
19 G. Nilsson

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,91
U
4,19
B ✓
1,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.