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Superligaen

Referee: S Rasmussen

Aalborg

S T U U T

2–3

Full-time

Sonderjyske

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 23%

19%

27%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 54%

42%

65%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,05 xG 2,38

64% Possession 36%

16 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalborg 10. · Sonderjyske 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	26	15	4	7	+14	+5.3	49
2	FC Copenhagen	26	13	8	5	+13	+13.7	47
3	Brondby	26	11	10	5	+14	+6.7	43
4	Randers FC	26	11	8	7	+10	+9.5	41
5	Aarhus	26	10	10	6	+18	+8.8	40
6	Silkeborg	26	10	9	7	+12	+5.8	39
7	Nordsjaelland	26	11	6	9	+3	+6.5	39
8	Viborg	26	10	8	8	+5	-6.8	38
9	Sonderjyske	26	7	5	14	-22	-13.2	26
10	Aalborg	26	5	8	13	-26	-19.7	23
11	Lyngby	26	3	10	13	-15	-7.0	19
12	Vejle	26	4	6	16	-26	-9.5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	11	0	2	+11	+4.2	33
2	Nordsjaelland	13	8	4	1	+14	+5.3	28
3	FC Copenhagen	13	8	4	1	+11	+9.9	28
4	Aarhus	13	7	6	0	+18	+7.7	27
5	Viborg	13	8	2	3	+5	-4.9	26
6	Randers FC	13	7	3	3	+10	+7.3	24
7	Brondby	13	6	6	1	+9	+4.5	24
8	Silkeborg	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.9	22
9	Sonderjyske	13	4	3	6	-12	-8.5	15
10	Aalborg	13	3	4	6	-13	-9.6	13
11	Lyngby	13	2	5	6	-8	-2.0	11
12	Vejle	13	2	5	6	-10	-1.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	13	5	4	4	+5	+2.1	19
2	FC Copenhagen	13	5	4	4	+2	+3.8	19
3	Silkeborg	13	4	5	4	+5	+3.8	17
4	Randers FC	13	4	5	4	+0	+2.2	17
5	Midtjylland	13	4	4	5	+3	+1.2	16
6	Aarhus	13	3	4	6	+0	+1.1	13
7	Viborg	13	2	6	5	+0	-1.9	12
8	Sonderjyske	13	3	2	8	-10	-4.7	11
9	Nordsjaelland	13	3	2	8	-11	+1.1	11
10	Aalborg	13	2	4	7	-13	-10.1	10
11	Lyngby	13	1	5	7	-7	-5.0	8
12	Vejle	13	2	1	10	-16	-8.0	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.