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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Oster

S S T S T

0–1

Full-time

AIK

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oster AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,57 xG 0,74

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 8

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oster 11. · AIK 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+6	+4.3	9
2	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+5	+0.2	8
3	Malmo FF	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.6	8
4	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.5	7
5	AIK	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
6	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+3	+2.1	6
7	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.8	6
8	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-0.1	6
9	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.7	4
10	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.1	4
11	Oster	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
12	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.3	3
13	Djurgarden	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
14	Hacken	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
15	Halmstad	4	1	0	3	-8	-6.8	3
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
2	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
3	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
4	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.4	4
5	AIK	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
6	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.3	4
7	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
8	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
9	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
10	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
11	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
12	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.5	3
13	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
15	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
16	Sirius	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
2	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
3	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
4	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.2	3
5	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
6	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.8	3
8	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
9	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
10	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.1	3
11	GAIS	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
12	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
13	Oster	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.6	0
14	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
15	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
16	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.