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Primeira Liga

Referee: Cláudio Pereira

Pacos Ferreira

T T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Aves

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Aves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

2,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

40%

100%

Both score Ø 70%

40%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,8

Scored

0,6

1,6

Conceded

2,4

3,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

24 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 19. · Aves 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+11	12
4	Tondela	6	2	3	1	+2	9
5	Boavista	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Sp Lisbon	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Santa Clara	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Guimaraes	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
12	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Aves	5	1	0	4	-8	3
19	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
3	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Gil Vicente	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Guimaraes	3	1	2	0	+4	5
7	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tondela	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Sp Lisbon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Sp Braga	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Gil Vicente	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Aves	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.