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Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Schalke 04

U U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Mainz

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 6. · Mainz 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+8	8
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Schalke 04	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	M'gladbach	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Werder Bremen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Union Berlin	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	FC Koln	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-9	3
17	Paderborn	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Hertha	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Union Berlin	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Paderborn	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Schalke 04	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.