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Ligue 2

Caen

T T U U S

2–1

Full-time

Orleans

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Orleans

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 13%

17%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

42%

33%

Both score Ø 46%

50%

42%

Average goals

2,1

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 16. · Orleans 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Lens	12	6	4	2	+6	22
3	Ajaccio	12	6	4	2	+6	22
4	Troyes	12	7	1	4	+5	22
5	Sochaux	12	5	4	3	+7	19
6	Le Havre	12	4	6	2	+5	18
7	Rodez	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Grenoble	12	4	6	2	+2	18
9	Clermont	12	5	3	4	+0	18
10	Nancy	12	3	8	1	+2	17
11	Valenciennes	12	4	5	3	-1	17
12	Auxerre	12	4	4	4	+4	16
13	Guingamp	12	4	4	4	+2	16
14	Niort	12	3	5	4	+0	14
15	Chambly	12	3	4	5	-5	13
16	Caen	12	2	5	5	-5	11
17	Orleans	12	1	6	5	-6	9
18	Le Mans	12	3	0	9	-11	9
19	Chateauroux	12	1	5	6	-9	8
20	Paris FC	12	2	2	8	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+8	14
2	Rodez	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Nancy	7	3	4	0	+5	13
4	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+5	11
5	Auxerre	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Lorient	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Lens	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Ajaccio	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Troyes	6	3	0	3	+1	9
10	Valenciennes	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	Le Mans	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Le Havre	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Clermont	6	1	3	2	+0	6
14	Niort	6	1	3	2	+0	6
15	Grenoble	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Chambly	6	1	3	2	-3	6
17	Paris FC	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Caen	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Chateauroux	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Orleans	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Ajaccio	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Troyes	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Le Havre	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Lens	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Grenoble	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Clermont	6	4	0	2	+0	12
8	Caen	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Niort	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Valenciennes	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Orleans	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Chambly	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Auxerre	6	1	3	2	+0	6
14	Chateauroux	7	1	3	3	-6	6
15	Sochaux	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Guingamp	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Rodez	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Nancy	5	0	4	1	-3	4
19	Paris FC	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Le Mans	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.