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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Zwolle

T T T S T

2–4

Full-time

Ajax

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

2,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+2,3

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

27%

82%

Points per game

0,9

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

82%

73%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

1,5

3,2

Conceded

2,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+28	29
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	2	2	+17	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Vitesse	11	7	2	2	+7	23
5	Utrecht	11	6	2	3	+8	20
6	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
7	Heracles	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Heerenveen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Twente	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Sparta Rotterdam	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Groningen	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Feyenoord	11	3	5	3	-3	14
13	Zwolle	11	3	1	7	-10	10
14	FC Emmen	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Den Haag	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	For Sittard	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	VVV Venlo	11	3	0	8	-17	9
18	Waalwijk	11	0	1	10	-23	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Utrecht	5	4	0	1	+8	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	FC Emmen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Willem II	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	0	2	+4	9
10	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	Feyenoord	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Twente	6	2	2	2	+3	8
13	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+3	8
14	Heerenveen	6	1	5	0	+1	8
15	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	VVV Venlo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
17	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Waalwijk	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Heerenveen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Willem II	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Twente	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Den Haag	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-5	6
12	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Feyenoord	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	VVV Venlo	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	Zwolle	6	1	0	5	-10	3
16	For Sittard	5	0	1	4	-12	1
17	Waalwijk	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.