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Ligue 2
Caen
S U U T T
0–2
Full-time
Lens
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 16. · Lens 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 8 4 4 0 +8 16
2 Lorient 7 5 1 1 +7 16
3 Troyes 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Valenciennes 8 4 3 1 +3 15
5 Clermont 8 4 2 2 +4 14
6 Ajaccio 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Rodez 7 3 3 1 +5 12
8 Sochaux 8 3 3 2 +3 12
9 Niort 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Chambly 8 3 3 2 -1 12
11 Auxerre 8 3 2 3 +3 11
12 Nancy 8 2 5 1 +1 11
13 Lens 7 3 2 2 +0 11
14 Guingamp 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Grenoble 8 1 5 2 -2 8
16 Caen 7 1 3 3 -4 6
17 Orleans 8 0 4 4 -4 4
18 Le Mans 8 1 0 7 -9 3
19 Chateauroux 8 0 3 5 -9 3
20 Paris FC 8 0 2 6 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,76
U
2,94
B ✓
2,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.