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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
T S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
38%
23%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
46%
Average goals
2,6
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 9. · Malaga 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 14 11 1 2 +12 34
2 Almeria 13 6 5 2 +8 23
3 Fuenlabrada 13 7 2 4 +5 23
4 Huesca 13 7 1 5 +5 22
5 Albacete 14 7 1 6 -5 22
6 Numancia 14 5 6 3 +4 21
7 Vallecano 13 4 7 2 +4 19
8 Zaragoza 13 5 4 4 +1 19
9 Ponferradina 13 4 6 3 +4 18
10 Las Palmas 13 5 3 5 +0 18
11 Alcorcon 13 4 5 4 +1 17
12 Sp Gijon 14 4 5 5 +1 17
13 Girona 13 5 2 6 -1 17
14 Elche 13 4 4 5 -2 16
15 Mirandes 13 3 6 4 -6 15
16 Malaga 13 3 5 5 -2 14
17 Tenerife 13 3 4 6 -2 13
18 Oviedo 13 3 4 6 -3 13
19 Extremadura UD 13 3 4 6 -4 13
20 Lugo 13 2 7 4 -6 13
21 Santander 13 1 8 4 -3 11
22 La Coruna 13 1 6 6 -11 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,74
U
2,89
B
2,80
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.