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Ligue 2

Troyes

S S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Pau FC

T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 1

10 Corners 0

15 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Troyes 10. · Pau FC 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Caen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Valenciennes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Grenoble	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Troyes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Chateauroux	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Nancy	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Guingamp	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Chambly	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Niort	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Chateauroux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Chambly	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Chambly	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Valenciennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Pau FC	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.