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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
1–0
Full-time
Standard
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 3
19 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5. · Standard 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 5 4 1 0 +6 13
2 Charleroi 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Waregem 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Beerschot VA 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Anderlecht 5 1 4 0 +2 7
7 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Kortrijk 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Cercle Brugge 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Eupen 5 1 3 1 -3 6
11 Genk 3 1 2 0 +1 5
12 St Truiden 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Antwerp 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Club Brugge 3 1 0 2 +2 3
15 Waasland-Beveren 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Beveren 4 1 0 3 -4 3
17 Oostende 4 0 2 2 -2 2
18 Mouscron 4 0 2 2 -2 2
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Gent 4 0 0 4 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
13′
🟨 Obbi Oulare
21′
🔁 A. Boljević
↦ M. Lestienne
24′
🟨 Nicolas Gavory
Sascha Kotysch 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
48′
51′
🟨 Nicolas Raskin
72′
🔁 M. Bokadi
↦ D. Čop
J. Perbet 🔁
↦ K. Malinov
73′
1–0 K. Sowah
X. Mercier
77′
80′
🔁 M. Carcela-González
↦ N. Raskin
Toon Raemaekers 🟨
84′
A. Keita 🔁
↦ K. Sowah
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
21 D. Iversen G
23 S. Kotysch D
18 B. Bese D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
28 T. Raemaekers D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
14 K. Sowah M
77 Y. Croizet F
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
11 T. Vlietinck
43 J. Perbet
99 A. Keita
8 T. Van Hyfte
12 S. Limbombe
90 R. Romo
33 M. Maertens

Coach: M. Brys

Standard

4-3-3
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
21 C. Fai D
3 Z. Vanheusden D
22 M. Lestienne M
8 G. Cimirot M
19 S. Amallah M
26 N. Raskin M
7 D. Čop F
9 O. Oularé F
Bench (7)
18 A. Boljević
20 M. Bokadi
10 M. Carcela-González
30 L. Henkinet
15 E. Shamir
6 N. Dussenne
25 F. Avenatti

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
5,04
U
3,63
B
1,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.