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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Montpellier

T T S T T

3–1

Full-time

Nice

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

20 Shots 9

13 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 10

8 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 15. · Nice 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Brest	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Nice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.