Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ajaccio
Auxerre
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Troyes
|
23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | +16 | 47 |
| 2 |
Toulouse
|
23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +16 | 45 |
| 3 |
Clermont
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | +21 | 43 |
| 4 |
Grenoble
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +12 | 41 |
| 5 |
Auxerre
|
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +17 | 39 |
| 6 |
Paris FC
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +6 | 37 |
| 7 |
Valenciennes
|
23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +6 | 35 |
| 8 |
Amiens
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 31 |
| 9 |
Ajaccio
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 |
Sochaux
|
23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | +4 | 29 |
| 11 |
Caen
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 |
Niort
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 |
Le Havre
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 |
Dunkerque
|
23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |
Rodez
|
23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Chambly | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 |
Nancy
|
23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -6 | 22 |
| 18 |
Guingamp
|
23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -7 | 22 |
| 19 |
Pau FC
|
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 20 |
| 20 |
Chateauroux
|
23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sochaux
Ajaccio
Ajaccio
Grenoble
Dunkerque
Ajaccio
Ajaccio
Caen
Paris FC
Ajaccio
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.