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Ligue 2
Auxerre
T S T S T
5–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,6
1,4
Scored
1,0
0,4
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

12 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 11
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 14. · Ajaccio 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 6 3 2 1 +4 11
2 Niort 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Troyes 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Grenoble 5 3 0 2 +3 9
6 Sochaux 5 2 3 0 +3 9
7 Valenciennes 5 3 0 2 +3 9
8 Le Havre 5 3 0 2 +1 9
9 Rodez 5 2 2 1 -1 8
10 Dunkerque 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Clermont 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Toulouse 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 -3 6
15 Amiens 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Chambly 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Nancy 5 1 1 3 -1 4
18 Chateauroux 5 1 1 3 -2 4
19 Ajaccio 5 1 1 3 -3 4
20 Pau FC 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
2,90
B
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.