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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Alaves
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 18. · Valladolid 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 19 16 2 1 +30 50
2 Barcelona 20 12 4 4 +23 40
3 Real Madrid 20 12 4 4 +17 40
4 Sevilla 20 12 3 5 +12 39
5 Villarreal 21 8 11 2 +9 35
6 Sociedad 21 8 8 5 +13 32
7 Betis 21 9 3 9 -7 30
8 Granada 21 8 5 8 -10 29
9 Levante 20 6 8 6 +0 26
10 Celta 21 6 7 8 -7 25
11 Ath Bilbao 20 7 3 10 +2 24
12 Getafe 20 6 6 8 -6 24
13 Cadiz 21 6 6 9 -12 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 -2 23
15 Eibar 21 4 8 9 -6 20
16 Valladolid 21 4 8 9 -11 20
17 Osasuna 21 4 7 10 -11 19
18 Alaves 21 4 7 10 -11 19
19 Elche 19 3 8 8 -10 17
20 Huesca 21 2 10 9 -13 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Valladolid
Tomás Pina 🟨
10′
Ximo Navarro 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Bruno González
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Joaquin Fernandez
Martín Aguirregabiria 🔁
↦ Ximo Navarro
60′
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Luis Rioja
60′
Manu García 🟨
63′
63′
🔁 Toni Villa
↦ Pablo Hervías
64′
🔁 Rubén Alcaraz
↦ Roque Mesa
64′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ Kike Pérez
1–0 Joselu
Martín Aguirregabiria
66′
79′
🔁 Waldo Rubio
↦ S. Weissman
79′
🔁 F. Orellana
↦ Óscar Plano
82′
🟨 Fede San Emeterio
R. Battaglia 🔁
↦ Manu García
82′
88′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
Edgar Méndez 🟨
90′
Deyverson 🔁
↦ Joselu
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
22 F. Lejeune D
23 Ximo Navarro D
3 Rubén Duarte D
2 Alberto Rodríguez D
19 Manu García M
16 Edgar Méndez M
8 Pina M
9 Joselu F
7 Lucas Pérez F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (12)
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
17 Iñigo Córdoba
6 R. Battaglia
14 Deyverson
24 Jota Peleteiro
26 Javi López
37 F. Pellistri
29 Borja Sainz
5 Laguardia
13 Sivera
20 Pere Pons
18 Burgui

Coach: Abelardo

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
1 Jordi Masip G
6 Bruno D
25 L. Olaza D
2 Luis Pérez D
11 Pablo Hervías M
17 Roque Mesa M
24 Joaquín Fernández D
20 Fede M
8 Kike Pérez M
10 Óscar Plano M
9 S. Weissman F
Bench (11)
19 Toni Villa
14 Rubén Alcaraz
3 K. Kodro
23 Waldo Rubio
12 F. Orellana
29 Oriol Rey
30 Miguel Rubio
21 Míchel
27 Kuki
22 Nacho Martínez
13 Roberto Jiménez

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,60
U
3,00
B
3,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,48
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.