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Championship

Referee: M Donohue

Birmingham

U S T U T

1–2

Full-time

QPR

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham QPR

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

This season — Championship · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 38%

29%

46%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 44%

25%

63%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Birmingham 20. · QPR 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	26	14	8	4	+21	50
2	Fulham	24	14	6	4	+33	48
3	Blackburn	25	14	6	5	+19	48
4	West Brom	25	12	8	5	+13	44
5	Middlesbrough	26	12	6	8	+7	42
6	Huddersfield	24	11	6	7	+5	39
7	Stoke	24	11	5	8	+6	38
8	QPR	24	11	5	8	+5	38
9	Coventry	24	10	7	7	+5	37
10	Blackpool	27	10	6	11	-3	36
11	Sheffield United	22	10	4	8	+5	34
12	Nott'm Forest	24	9	6	9	+4	33
13	Millwall	25	8	9	8	-1	33
14	Bristol City	26	9	6	11	-8	33
15	Luton	22	8	7	7	+7	31
16	Derby	25	7	10	8	-2	31
17	Preston	23	8	7	8	-3	31
18	Swansea	23	8	6	9	-2	30
19	Reading	23	9	3	11	-5	30
20	Birmingham	24	7	6	11	-11	27
21	Hull	25	6	5	14	-10	23
22	Cardiff	24	6	5	13	-17	23
23	Peterboro	23	5	4	14	-24	19
24	Peterborough	23	5	4	14	-24	19
25	Barnsley	25	2	9	14	-20	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	14	10	2	2	+17	32
2	Coventry	13	8	2	3	+12	26
3	Middlesbrough	14	8	2	4	+8	26
4	West Brom	11	7	4	0	+12	25
5	Fulham	12	7	3	2	+16	24
6	Bournemouth	12	7	3	2	+13	24
7	Stoke	13	7	3	3	+7	24
8	Huddersfield	11	7	2	2	+6	23
9	Blackpool	15	7	2	6	-1	23
10	Preston	12	6	4	2	+4	22
11	QPR	12	6	3	3	+5	21
12	Derby	12	5	5	2	+3	20
13	Swansea	12	5	4	3	+5	19
14	Millwall	11	5	4	2	+3	19
15	Luton	11	5	3	3	+7	18
16	Reading	12	5	3	4	+2	18
17	Sheffield United	11	5	2	4	+8	17
18	Nott'm Forest	13	5	2	6	-1	17
19	Bristol City	14	4	5	5	-2	17
20	Peterboro	11	4	4	3	+3	16
21	Peterborough	11	4	4	3	+3	16
22	Birmingham	11	4	3	4	-2	15
23	Hull	12	3	3	6	-4	12
24	Barnsley	12	2	4	6	-7	10
25	Cardiff	11	2	1	8	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	14	7	5	2	+8	26
2	Fulham	12	7	3	2	+17	24
3	West Brom	14	5	4	5	+1	19
4	QPR	12	5	2	5	+0	17
5	Sheffield United	11	5	2	4	-3	17
6	Nott'm Forest	11	4	4	3	+5	16
7	Blackburn	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Huddersfield	13	4	4	5	-1	16
9	Middlesbrough	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Bristol City	12	5	1	6	-6	16
11	Cardiff	13	4	4	5	-8	16
12	Stoke	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Millwall	14	3	5	6	-4	14
14	Luton	11	3	4	4	+0	13
15	Blackpool	12	3	4	5	-2	13
16	Reading	11	4	0	7	-7	12
17	Birmingham	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Derby	13	2	5	6	-5	11
19	Hull	13	3	2	8	-6	11
20	Swansea	11	3	2	6	-7	11
21	Coventry	11	2	5	4	-7	11
22	Preston	11	2	3	6	-7	9
23	Barnsley	13	0	5	8	-13	5
24	Peterboro	12	1	0	11	-27	3
25	Peterborough	12	1	0	11	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.