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LaLiga2

Almeria

S S U U S

0–1

Full-time

Cartagena

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Cartagena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 57%

70%

43%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 51%

50%

52%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Almeria 1. · Cartagena 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	20	14	3	3	+24	45
2	Eibar	22	12	6	4	+8	42
3	Tenerife	21	11	5	5	+12	38
4	Valladolid	21	11	4	6	+9	37
5	Ponferradina	22	10	7	5	+8	37
6	Oviedo	22	7	11	4	+6	32
7	Girona	21	9	4	8	+4	31
8	Las Palmas	21	8	7	6	+2	31
9	Cartagena	21	9	3	9	-1	30
10	Burgos	22	8	5	9	+0	29
11	Huesca	21	6	9	6	+2	27
12	Sp Gijon	21	7	6	8	-3	27
13	Malaga	21	7	6	8	-8	27
14	Zaragoza	21	5	11	5	-4	26
15	Leganes	21	6	7	8	+0	25
16	Ibiza	21	5	10	6	-4	25
17	Lugo	20	4	11	5	+0	23
18	Mirandes	21	6	5	10	-6	23
19	Amorebieta	22	3	11	8	-7	20
20	Fuenlabrada	21	3	11	7	-7	20
21	Sociedad B	22	4	5	13	-12	17
22	Alcorcon	21	2	5	14	-23	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Eibar	11	8	2	1	+9	26
3	Valladolid	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Las Palmas	11	7	2	2	+9	23
5	Malaga	11	7	2	2	+5	23
6	Ponferradina	11	6	4	1	+10	22
7	Cartagena	10	7	1	2	+10	22
8	Burgos	11	6	3	2	+10	21
9	Tenerife	10	6	2	2	+9	20
10	Girona	11	6	2	3	+8	20
11	Oviedo	11	5	5	1	+7	20
12	Sp Gijon	10	5	2	3	+2	17
13	Lugo	10	3	5	2	+1	14
14	Huesca	11	3	5	3	+1	14
15	Mirandes	11	4	2	5	-1	14
16	Fuenlabrada	11	2	7	2	+0	13
17	Zaragoza	11	2	6	3	-2	12
18	Amorebieta	10	2	5	3	+0	11
19	Leganes	10	2	5	3	+0	11
20	Ibiza	11	2	5	4	-2	11
21	Alcorcon	10	1	4	5	-11	7
22	Sociedad B	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	10	6	1	3	+9	19
2	Tenerife	11	5	3	3	+3	18
3	Eibar	11	4	4	3	-1	16
4	Ponferradina	11	4	3	4	-2	15
5	Leganes	11	4	2	5	+0	14
6	Zaragoza	10	3	5	2	-2	14
7	Ibiza	10	3	5	2	-2	14
8	Valladolid	11	4	2	5	-3	14
9	Huesca	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Oviedo	11	2	6	3	-1	12
11	Sociedad B	11	3	2	6	-4	11
12	Girona	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Sp Gijon	11	2	4	5	-5	10
14	Lugo	10	1	6	3	-1	9
15	Mirandes	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Amorebieta	12	1	6	5	-7	9
17	Las Palmas	10	1	5	4	-7	8
18	Burgos	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Cartagena	11	2	2	7	-11	8
20	Fuenlabrada	10	1	4	5	-7	7
21	Alcorcon	11	1	1	9	-12	4
22	Malaga	10	0	4	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.