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Ligue 2

Referee: M Bollengier

Caen

U T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Metz

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 10. · Metz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Dijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Laval	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Niort	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Amiens	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Quevilly Rouen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sochaux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Annecy	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Laval	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nimes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sochaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Pau FC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.