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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ladebäck
Varberg
S T U T S
0–4
Full-time
Goteborg
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Goteborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
31%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
56%
31%
Both score Ø 38%
31%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varberg 12. · Goteborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 17 10 4 3 +24 34
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 +21 33
3 Hacken 16 9 5 2 +12 32
4 AIK 17 9 4 4 +4 31
5 Malmo FF 17 9 3 5 +8 30
6 Goteborg 16 8 3 5 +5 27
7 Kalmar 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Mjallby 17 7 6 4 +3 27
9 Sirius 17 7 3 7 -5 24
10 Elfsborg 17 5 7 5 +7 22
11 Norrkoping 17 5 4 8 -3 19
12 Varberg 16 5 3 8 -12 18
13 Varnamo 17 4 5 8 -10 17
14 Degerfors 17 3 2 12 -21 11
15 Helsingborg 16 2 4 10 -11 10
16 Sundsvall 17 3 1 13 -27 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Goteborg
44′
M. Berg 0–1
H. Carneil
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Warner Hahn
59′
M. Berg 0–2
K. Yakob
D. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ D. Kunst
71′
O. Alfonsi 🔁
↦ A. Johansson
71′
R. Tranberg 🔁
↦ I. Lushaku
71′
Eliton Júnior 🔁
↦ G. Mensah
72′
A. Winbo 🔁
↦ Ó. Sverrisson
72′
82′
G. Norlin 0–3
H. Carneil
86′
K. Yakob 0–4
G. Norlin
87′
🔁 E. Sorga
↦ A. Jallow
87′
🔁 S. Eriksson
↦ G. Norlin
87′
🔁 E. Salomonsson
↦ Hosam Aiesh
91′
🟨 Sebastian Eriksson
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Varberg

3-4-3
29 F. Andersson G
5 Ó. Sverrisson D
4 O. Stanisic D
2 J. Birkfeldt D
15 G. Mensah M
8 L. Le Roux M
17 I. Lushaku M
22 A. Boman M
9 R. Simović F
32 D. Kunst F
16 A. Johansson F
Bench (7)
35 D. Krasniqi
14 O. Alfonsi
7 R. Tranberg
11 Eliton Júnior
6 A. Winbo
10 T. Matthews
1 P. Mårtensson

Coach: J. Persson

Goteborg

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
17 O. Wendt D
4 C. Johansson D
5 A. Jallow D
20 J. Bångsbo D
13 G. Svensson M
8 Hosam Aiesh F
14 G. Norlin F
23 K. Yakob M
19 H. Carneil M
9 M. Berg F
Bench (7)
11 E. Sorga
7 S. Eriksson
2 E. Salomonsson
12 A. Benediktsson
26 T. van Assema
16 L. Carlstrand
30 M. Bjärsmyr

Coach: M. Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.