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Primeira Liga
Referee: André Narciso
Gil Vicente
U T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Pacos Ferreira
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
5 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Estoril 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Boavista 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Vizela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sp Braga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Sp Lisbon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Santa Clara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Casa Pia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Portimonense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Chaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Famalicao 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
16 Arouca 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Apr -22 Gil Vicente – Pacos Ferreira 1–1 10. Dec -21 Pacos Ferreira – Gil Vicente 0–1 14. May -21 Pacos Ferreira – Gil Vicente 0–2 2. Feb -21 Gil Vicente – Pacos Ferreira 1–2 24. Jul -20 Gil Vicente – Pacos Ferreira 3–3

Match report

Gil Vicente Pacos Ferreira
32′
🟨 Rui Pires
45′
🟨 Juan Delgado
Half-time 0–0
52′
🔁 J. Holsgrove
↦ Luíz Carlos
54′
🟨 Jordan Holsgrove
63′
🟨 Vitorino Antunes
Henrique Gomes 🟨
65′
67′
🟨 Jordi
M. Arai 🔁
↦ Kevin Villodres
70′
Boubacar Hanne 🔁
↦ J. Boselli
70′
70′
🔁 Lucas Silva
↦ Zé Uilton
76′
🔁 Matchoi Djaló
↦ N. Thomas
A. Alipourghara 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
79′
81′
🟨 Matchoi Djaló
1–0 A. Alipourghara ⚽
Fran Navarro
85′
Pedro Tiba 🔁
↦ Fran Navarro
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
42 Andrew G
78 Danilo Veiga D
3 Lucas Cunha D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
55 Henrique Gomes D
21 Vitor Carvalho M
57 Matheus Bueno M
20 J. Boselli M
10 K. Fujimoto M
17 Kevin Villodres M
9 Fran Navarro F
Bench (9)
18 M. Arai
11 Boubacar Hanne
30 A. Alipourghara
25 Pedro Tiba
93 Élder Santana
12 Brian Araújo
8 G. Aburjania
72 Tomás Araújo
15 Carraça

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
1 Jordi G
15 J. Delgado D
3 Nuno Lima D
4 Pedro Ganchas D
5 Antunes D
22 Luíz Carlos M
26 Rui Pires M
7 N. Thomas M
10 N. Gaitán M
9 Zé Uilton M
13 Arthur Sales F
Bench (8)
6 J. Holsgrove
23 Lucas Silva
16 Matchoi Djaló
29 Fernando Fonseca
24 José Oliveira
33 Vasco Sousa
8 A. Ibrahim
20 Luís Bastos

Coach: César Peixoto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B
4,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,11
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

André Narciso · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.