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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Le Havre
S U S S T
0–2
Full-time
Valenciennes
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
54%
23%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
26%
40%
Both score Ø 46%
37%
54%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
20 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 1. · Valenciennes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 35 19 14 2 +28 71
2 Bordeaux 36 20 9 7 +25 69
3 Metz 36 18 12 6 +26 66
4 Bastia 36 17 8 11 +8 59
5 Caen 36 16 10 10 +10 58
6 Sochaux 36 15 7 14 +16 52
7 St Etienne 36 14 10 12 +4 52
8 Paris FC 36 14 9 13 +1 51
9 Grenoble 36 14 9 13 +0 51
10 Guingamp 36 13 10 13 +1 49
11 Quevilly Rouen 36 12 13 11 +0 49
12 Amiens 36 12 8 16 -13 44
13 Rodez 36 10 13 13 -5 43
14 Annecy 36 10 12 14 -12 42
15 Dijon 36 10 11 15 -4 41
16 Pau FC 36 10 11 15 -14 41
17 Laval 36 12 4 20 -15 40
18 Valenciennes 35 8 15 12 -8 39
19 Nimes 36 9 6 21 -18 33
20 Niort 36 7 7 22 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Valenciennes
Arthur Desmas 🟨
6′
7′
A. Grbić 0–1
24′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ A. Grbić
42′
🟨 Jordan Poha
Gautier Lloris 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
M. Bentoumi 🔁
↦ N. Mbemba
46′
47′
M. Kaba 0–2
A. Richardson 🔁
↦ J. Casimir
60′
A. Logbo 🔁
↦ Q. Cornette
60′
71′
🔁 S. Ben Seghir
↦ I. Hamache
71′
🔁 M. Debuchy
↦ Y. Haouari
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ O. El Hajjam
78′
79′
🟨 Quentin Lecoeuche
79′
🔁 N. Diliberto
↦ Q. Lecoeuche
80′
🔁 J. Berthomier
↦ A. Boutoutaou
Y. Kitala 🔁
↦ O. Targhalline
84′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
18 N. Mbemba M
22 V. Lekhal M
5 O. Targhalline M
11 Q. Cornette F
10 N. Alioui F
23 J. Casimir F
Bench (7)
33 M. Bentoumi
24 A. Richardson
20 A. Logbo
28 E. Mahmoud
9 Y. Kitala
92 E. Kinkoue
1 M. Gorgelin

Coach: L. Elsner

Valenciennes

4-2-3-1
30 L. Sy G
24 A. Linguet D
56 J. Poha D
14 J. Cuffaut D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
21 M. Kaba M
6 J. Masson M
20 I. Hamache M
48 Y. Haouari M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
77 A. Grbić F
Bench (7)
11 U. Bonnet
29 S. Ben Seghir
26 M. Debuchy
8 N. Diliberto
5 J. Berthomier
41 S. Boudraa
16 H. Konaté

Coach: A. Kantari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U
3,73
B ✓
5,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.