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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Nimes
S T T T S
3–3
Full-time
Valenciennes
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 26%
27%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
45%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 19. · Valenciennes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 33 18 14 1 +28 68
2 Bordeaux 34 19 8 7 +22 65
3 Metz 33 16 11 6 +23 59
4 Bastia 33 15 8 10 +4 53
5 Sochaux 33 15 7 11 +19 52
6 Caen 34 14 10 10 +6 52
7 Grenoble 33 14 8 11 +2 50
8 St Etienne 33 12 10 11 +2 46
9 Guingamp 33 12 9 12 +1 45
10 Quevilly Rouen 33 11 12 10 +1 45
11 Paris FC 33 12 8 13 -1 44
12 Rodez 33 10 11 12 -4 41
13 Amiens 33 11 8 14 -9 41
14 Pau FC 33 10 10 13 -9 40
15 Valenciennes 33 8 13 12 -8 37
16 Annecy 33 9 10 14 -13 37
17 Dijon 33 8 10 15 -8 34
18 Laval 33 10 4 19 -14 34
19 Nimes 33 9 5 19 -15 32
20 Niort 33 7 6 20 -27 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Valenciennes
1–0 R. Saïd
M. Tchokounté
3′
21′
🟨 Ilyes Hamache
Malik Tchokounté 🟨
41′
44′
I. Hamache 1–1
Y. Haouari
Half-time 1–1
P. Burner 🔁
↦ R. Labonne
46′
L. Mousset 🔁
↦ M. Tchokounté
46′
54′
🔁 S. Boudraa
↦ J. Berthomier
N. Benezet 🔁
↦ P. Pagis
58′
61′
A. Boutoutaou 1–2
S. Boudraa
Steve Ambri 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
62′
64′
🔁 G. Zrankeon
↦ N. Diliberto
2–2 B. Poulain
65′
70′
A. Boutoutaou 2–3
Y. Haouari
3–3 N. Benezet
J. N'Guessan
71′
74′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ Y. Haouari
75′
🔁 F. Martin
↦ I. Hamache
75′
🔁 M. Debuchy
↦ A. Boutoutaou
M. Zerkane 🔁
↦ B. Poulain
81′
86′
🟨 Jonathan Buatu-Mananga
Steve Ambri 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Nimes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Maraval G
17 R. Labonne D
6 B. Poulain D
4 M. de Gevigney D
2 K. Guessoum D
21 J. N'Guessan M
28 J. Lopy M
8 T. Vargas M
11 P. Pagis M
15 R. Saïd M
18 M. Tchokounté F
Bench (7)
97 P. Burner
7 L. Mousset
10 N. Benezet
9 Steve Ambri
22 M. Zerkane
16 L. Dias
20 L. Delpech

Coach: F. Bompard

Valenciennes

4-2-3-1
30 L. Sy G
24 A. Linguet D
56 J. Poha D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
14 J. Cuffaut D
8 N. Diliberto M
21 M. Kaba M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
5 J. Berthomier M
20 I. Hamache M
48 Y. Haouari F
Bench (7)
41 S. Boudraa
33 G. Zrankeon
11 U. Bonnet
10 F. Martin
26 M. Debuchy
29 S. Ben Seghir
16 H. Konaté

Coach: A. Kantari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U ✓
3,20
B
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.