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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Valenciennes
U U T T T
0–0
Full-time
Niort
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Niort
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 16. · Niort 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 30 16 13 1 +26 61
2 Bordeaux 31 16 8 7 +16 56
3 Metz 31 15 10 6 +21 55
4 Sochaux 30 15 7 8 +23 52
5 Bastia 30 14 6 10 +1 48
6 Grenoble 30 13 8 9 +5 47
7 Caen 30 12 10 8 +5 46
8 St Etienne 30 11 9 10 +2 42
9 Quevilly Rouen 30 11 9 10 +1 42
10 Paris FC 30 11 7 12 -2 40
11 Amiens 30 11 7 12 -5 40
12 Guingamp 30 10 9 11 -2 39
13 Annecy 30 9 9 12 -7 36
14 Rodez 30 8 10 12 -8 34
15 Pau FC 30 8 10 12 -10 34
16 Valenciennes 30 7 12 11 -8 33
17 Laval 30 9 4 17 -12 31
18 Dijon 30 7 8 15 -10 29
19 Nimes 30 8 5 17 -12 29
20 Niort 30 7 5 18 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Niort
Sofiane Boudraa 🟨
19′
Joffrey Cuffaut 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
L. Nomel 🔁
↦ S. Boudraa
59′
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ A. Grbić
59′
S. Ben Seghir 🔁
↦ I. Hamache
64′
75′
🔁 S. Benchamma
↦ C. Kaboré
75′
🔁 S. Renel
↦ O. Ngom
84′
🔁 A. Sagna
↦ Y. Merdji
84′
🔁 G. Bentil
↦ N. Elphege
N. Diliberto 🔁
↦ M. Kaba
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-2-3-1
30 L. Sy G
24 A. Linguet D
56 J. Poha D
14 J. Cuffaut D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
21 M. Kaba M
6 J. Masson M
41 S. Boudraa M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
20 I. Hamache M
77 A. Grbić F
Bench (7)
18 L. Nomel
11 U. Bonnet
29 S. Ben Seghir
8 N. Diliberto
26 M. Debuchy
5 J. Berthomier
16 H. Konaté

Coach: A. Kantari

Niort

4-1-4-1
1 M. Michel G
29 J. Moutachy D
5 G. Kilama D
2 Q. Bernard D
21 L. Vallier D
25 C. Kaboré M
10 B. Boutobba M
36 O. Ngom M
15 J. Olaitan M
11 Y. Merdji M
37 N. Elphege F
Bench (7)
26 S. Benchamma
17 S. Renel
20 A. Sagna
99 G. Bentil
18 B. M'bondo
77 J. Flemmings
16 J. Louchet

Coach: B. Simondi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,27
B
3,62
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.