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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Bordeaux
S U S T T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 18. · Concarneau 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Ajaccio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Auxerre 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Laval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Angers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Annecy 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 St Etienne 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Quevilly Rouen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Valenciennes 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Concarneau
34′
🟨 Nassim Chadli
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Gboho
↦ C. Rodrigues
Yohan Cassubie 🟨
58′
A. Pitu 🔁
↦ J. Livolant
62′
A. Badji 🔁
↦ Z. Vipotnik
62′
Jean Marcelin 🟨
63′
I. Sissokho 🔁
↦ Y. Cassubie
70′
Pedro Díaz 🔁
↦ Z. Davitashvili
70′
78′
🔁 J. Faussurier
↦ N. Chadli
87′
🔁 M. Sylla Diallo
↦ G. Jannez
Mathias De Amorim 🔁
↦ G. Weissbeck
88′
95′
🔁 I. Matondo
↦ A. Urie
1–0 Y. Barbet
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
13 R. Strączek G
34 C. Michelin D
24 J. Marcelin D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
6 D. Ignatenko M
72 Y. Cassubie M
30 Z. Davitashvili M
10 G. Weissbeck M
7 J. Livolant M
9 Z. Vipotnik F
Bench (7)
11 A. Pitu
77 A. Badji
8 I. Sissokho
20 Pedro Díaz
22 Mathias De Amorim
40 A. Bedfian
19 J. Ekomié

Coach: D. Guion

Concarneau

4-2-3-1
30 E. Salles G
2 A. Georgen D
4 G. Jannez D
28 I. Paro D
23 R. Sans D
6 A. Phliponeau M
17 M. Etuin M
21 N. Chadli M
20 B. Mouazan M
11 A. Urie M
22 C. Rodrigues F
Bench (7)
24 A. Gboho
33 J. Faussurier
5 M. Sylla Diallo
7 I. Matondo
26 T. Sinquin
8 T. Lebeau
1 M. Pattier

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,77
B
4,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.