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Coppa Italia
Referee: L Zufferli
Cremonese
S T T T S
3–1
Full-time
Crotone
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
23 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggiana 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Parma 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Verona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 FeralpiSalo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Salernitana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Catanzaro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
15 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Cesena 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Vicenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Como 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Foggia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Ascoli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -3 0
28 Bari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
29 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Crotone
7′
M. Tumminello 0–1
F. Papini
8′
ℹ️ Marco Tumminello
VAR: Goal confirmed
10′
🟨 Riccardo Spaltro
1–1 F. Afena-Gyan
L. Sernicola
30′
Half-time 1–1
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
46′
L. Ravanelli 🔁
↦ L. Lochoshvili
46′
C. Buonaiuto 🔁
↦ F. Afena-Gyan
59′
59′
🔁 P. Giannotti
↦ L. Rojas
59′
🔁 G. Bruzzaniti
↦ R. Spaltro
Michele Collocolo 🟨
67′
74′
🔁 T. Awua
↦ Lucas Felippe
74′
🔁 L. Chiarella
↦ M. Tumminello
T. Milanese 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
76′
89′
🟨 Davide Bove
90′
🔁 G. Gigliotti
↦ D. Bove
Cristian Buonaiuto ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
91′
Matteo Bianchetti 🟨
92′
N. Sekulov 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
95′
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
101′
105′
🔁 R. Cantisani
↦ E. DUrsi
2–1 F. Vázquez
F. Tsadjout
105′
3–1 C. Pickel
117′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sarr G
17 L. Sernicola D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
33 G. Quagliata D
8 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
91 A. Bertolacci M
11 F. Afena-Gyan M
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (12)
74 F. Tsadjout
5 L. Ravanelli
10 C. Buonaiuto
62 T. Milanese
7 N. Sekulov
6 C. Pickel
9 D. Ciofani
21 G. Saro
18 P. Ghiglione
28 M. Ndiaye
22 A. Jungdal
3 E. Valeri

Coach: D. Ballardini

Crotone

4-2-3-1
1 A. Dini G
36 R. Spaltro D
2 F. Papini D
5 D. Bove D
3 M. Giron D
8 Lucas Felippe M
28 M. Vitale M
19 A. Tribuzzi M
20 L. Rojas M
7 E. D'Ursi M
93 M. Tumminello F
Bench (12)
24 P. Giannotti
17 G. Bruzzaniti
86 T. Awua
45 L. Chiarella
6 G. Gigliotti
29 R. Cantisani
22 F. D'Alterio
33 D. Mondonico
14 C. Crialese
12 A. Lucano
77 O. Pannitteri
39 T. Schirò

Coach: L. Zauli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.