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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
Cadiz
T S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Alaves
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,66 xG 0,25
44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.5 3
2 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.0 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
4 Betis 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
5 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
6 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
7 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
8 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.7 1
9 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.7 1
10 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.9 1
11 Barcelona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.9 1
12 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
13 Sevilla 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
14 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.5 0
15 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.0 0
16 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. May -22 Alaves – Cadiz 0–1 23. Oct -21 Cadiz – Alaves 0–2 13. Mar -21 Alaves – Cadiz 1–1 10. Jan -21 Cadiz – Alaves 3–1

Match report

Cadiz Alaves
1–0 Fede San Emeterio ⚽
Javier Hernández
7′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Aleksandar Sedlar
52′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
57′
🔁 Kike García
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
64′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Rubén Duarte
64′
🔁 Abderrahman Rebbach
↦ Aleksandar Sedlar
64′
🔁 Carlos Benavídez
↦ Antonio Blanco
Rubén Sobrino 🔁
↦ Iván Alejo
65′
Lucas Pires 🔁
↦ Javier Hernández
65′
Luis Hernández 🟨
67′
Gonzalo Escalante 🔁
↦ Fede San Emeterio
71′
Rubén Sobrino 🟨
75′
Fali 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 Mamadou Sylla
↦ Ander Guevara
Álex Fernández 🔁
↦ Darwin Machís
87′
Jorge Meré 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
87′
Gonzalo Escalante 🟥
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali D
15 Javier Hernández D
11 Iván Alejo M
24 Fede San Emeterio M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
18 Darwin Machís M
16 Chris Ramos F
21 Roger Martí F
Bench (12)
33 Lucas Pires
7 Rubén Sobrino
17 Gonzalo Escalante
22 Jorge Meré
8 Álex Fernández
13 David Gil
2 Joseba Zaldúa
14 Mamadou Mbaye
6 José Mari
12 Milutin Osmajić
9 Álvaro Negredo
27 Jose Antonio de la Rosa

Coach: Sergio

Alaves

5-4-1
1 Antonio Sivera G
2 Andoni Gorosabel D
5 Abdelkabir Abqar D
4 Aleksandar Sedlar D
16 Rafa Marín D
3 Rubén Duarte D
18 Jon Guridi M
8 Antonio Blanco M
6 Ander Guevara M
11 Luis Rioja M
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
15 Kike García
27 Javi López
23 Carlos Benavídez
21 Abderrahman Rebbach
7 Mamadou Sylla
33 Adrián Rodríguez
31 Jesús Owono
19 Nikola Maraš
26 Joseda Álvarez
35 Selu Diallo
17 Xeber Alkain
34 Giorgi Gagua

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
🔒
U
3,06
🔒
B
3,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,63
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,48
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.